Champions League · resolved market
Will Atalanta beat Barcelona?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae08b0027bb1fb50c112e72da476cf4356989fe281e97930a8ee62236268ffe4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x763f…81e9backed No | 78c | 1,277$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.22 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 23c | 900$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 111 | 32.4%36 W · 75 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 21c | 598.07$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.6 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed No | 77c | 493$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.39 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 17c | 348.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.12 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 25c | 270$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 21c | 141.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64a…21dabacked Yes | 22c | 128.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…3681backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 26c | 102.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 79c | 75.74$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…81eabacked Yes | 23c | 71.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yes | 24c | 67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 19c | 65.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba99…8f26backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 76c | 41.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 76c | 39.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 76c | 34.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 78c | 32.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc106…f4b6backed No | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atalanta beat Barcelona?this page
- Will Barcelona beat Atalanta?No won
- Will the match between Barcelona and Atalanta end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.