Champions League · resolved market
Will the match between Barcelona and Atalanta end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13e9b2b636a806d2fedd852ff2c04346642212518d3c9561ac0832f67ea5f1ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 42c | 1,327$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.75 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc25…d781backed Yes | 63c | 781.76$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +188%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…2bd2backed Yes | 76c | 730.89$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb5…4f10backed No | 21c | 723.97$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 27c | 625$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.75 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 73c | 625$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 41c | 500.18$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.26 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 62c | 461.65$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.14 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ed…27bcbacked Yes | 67c | 296.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 77c | 291$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.07 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Yes | 23c | 250$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 22c | 244.26$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.52 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b3…9d7dbacked No | 68c | 213.57$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…6747backed Yes | 38c | 131.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 23c | 130$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 49c | 114.22$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 41c | 114$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…3681backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 77c | 104.87$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.75 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…68f5backed Yes | 71c | 98.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 25c | 92.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.38 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cba…1d68backed Yes | 63c | 88.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…c769backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 77c | 67.7$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.13 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…b0b4backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf011…994fbacked Yes | 56c | 29.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +160.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Yes | 62c | 25.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the match between Barcelona and Atalanta end in a draw?this page
- Will Atalanta beat Barcelona?No won
- Will Barcelona beat Atalanta?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.