Tennis · resolved market
Baton Rouge: Alexis Galarneau vs Stefan Dostanic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70b4dfb6c497f1bf5a885e52f4acb31508fc844da41c5b43a6311f2c2b94194a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dostanicof Galarneau, Dostanic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Galarneau | 0c | 3,691$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Galarneau | 50c | 3,045$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.37 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ed…cfe3backed Galarneau | 43c | 2,932$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.85 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Dostanic | 57c | 2,569$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Dostanic | 52c | 1,451$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.49 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Galarneau | 71c | 1,409$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Dostanic | 35c | 878.13$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.79 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed Galarneau | 59c | 319.37$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.37 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Galarneau | 48c | 278.22$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.63 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Galarneau | 25c | 238.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Dostanic | 75c | 236$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Dostanic | 44c | 229.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.1 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Galarneau | 48c | 207.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Galarneau | 44c | 197$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.94 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…c1bdbacked Galarneau | 57c | 175$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Dostanic | 48c | 172.36$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.47 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Dostanic | 58c | 171.29$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.34 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Dostanic | 36c | 141.67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.67 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Dostanic | 40c | 133.64$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.18 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Galarneau | 55c | 122.57$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.41 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Galarneau | 39c | 108$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Galarneau | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 250 | 51.2%128 W · 122 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Dostanic | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 273 | 44.7%122 W · 151 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Dostanic | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67d…ffc4backed Galarneau | 28c | 89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Galarneau | 28c | 88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Galarneau | 22c | 66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Galarneau | 56c | 60.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Galarneau | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Galarneau | 54c | 45.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Galarneau | 64c | 43.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…4dd4backed Galarneau | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Galarneau | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Dostanic | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Galarneau | 58c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Galarneau | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b1…799abacked Galarneau | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Galarneau | 45c | 23.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.