Tennis · resolved market
Transylvania Open: Xinyu Wang vs Kaitlin Quevedo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e2cf22e3d5e51e12408a9475c426c94f7cee5aa913f37e3b6e706f1032b93c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wangof Wang, Quevedo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Quevedo | 9c | 6,576$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.85 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Quevedo | 1c | 2,430$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 123 | 13.8%17 W · 106 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Quevedo | 6c | 1,919$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.05 | 246 | 38.2%94 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Quevedo | 20c | 1,563$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.54 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Quevedo | 10c | 976.93$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.68 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Quevedo | 20c | 792.09$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.11 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Wang | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Quevedo | 18c | 608.36$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.18 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d3…55a4backed Quevedo | 10c | 566.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Quevedo | 20c | 512.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Quevedo | 19c | 478.17$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.36 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…f560backed Quevedo | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb62f…6836backed Quevedo | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Quevedo | 19c | 299.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Wang | 80c | 272.18$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Wang | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Quevedo | 19c | 247$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Quevedo | 18c | 235.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Wang | 79c | 234.49$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.24 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Quevedo | 22c | 229.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Quevedo | 20c | 210.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Quevedo | 15c | 201.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Quevedo | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Quevedo | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Quevedo | 14c | 173.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Quevedo | 20c | 165.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Quevedo | 19c | 160.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…fc42backed Quevedo | 22c | 142.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Wang | 80c | 131.25$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5b…6e14backed Quevedo | 15c | 129.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Quevedo | 19c | 127.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Quevedo | 19c | 124.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…c1bdbacked Wang | 78c | 100.12$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Quevedo | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Quevedo | 16c | 95.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf688…9595backed Wang | 80c | 95$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 67cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Quevedo | 22c | 92.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Quevedo | 22c | 90.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wang | 77c | 82$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Quevedo | 21c | 75.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Quevedo | 20c | 74.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Quevedo | 21c | 71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 300 | 55%165 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Wang | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…2584backed Wang | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed Wang | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 144 | 75%108 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Quevedo | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Wang | 78c | 32.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Wang | 78c | 30.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…e270backed Wang | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a00…a9a6backed Wang | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…a05cbacked Wang | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Wang | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0e…7b1fbacked Wang | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Wang | 80c | 14.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.88 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac8…f291backed Wang | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Transylvania Open: Xinyu Wang vs Kaitlin Quevedothis page
- Set 1 Winner: Wang vs QuevedoWang won
- Wang vs. Quevedo: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.