CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs WW Team (BO3) - Exort Cataclysm Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bd265a6ef3dce90d0e1da803cc943f446a1a26fbc742083c3f96127b27a2acd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WW Teamof Virtus.pro, WW Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 4,700$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,504.81 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked WW Team | 46c | 3,477$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.53 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked WW Team | 22c | 2,500$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Virtus.pro | 78c | 2,500$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…0550backed WW Team | 31c | 1,369$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.82 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked WW Team | 31c | 800$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Virtus.pro | 22c | 635.3$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.7 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x944f…d441backed WW Team | 78c | 602.82$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.87 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…2aaebacked WW Team | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7a…7181backed WW Team | 54c | 366.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.91 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Virtus.pro | 67c | 326$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.19 | 157 | 43.3%68 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Virtus.pro | 49c | 313.24$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.69 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cea…fb39backed WW Team | 33c | 303$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.01 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked WW Team | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked WW Team | 52c | 196.02$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.19 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked WW Team | 52c | 153.63$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed WW Team | 34c | 148.93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.37 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked Virtus.pro | 77c | 130.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 130$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 195 | 54.4%106 W · 89 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f25…7e84backed WW Team | 56c | 127.68$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe586…d402backed WW Team | 71c | 120.07$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 47cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa100…60e1backed Virtus.pro | 48c | 103$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 137 | 37.2%51 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked WW Team | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc64…6d95backed WW Team | 30c | 79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 74.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked WW Team | 45c | 74.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaf…b5d5backed WW Team | 38c | 69.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…20e7backed WW Team | 57c | 68.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed WW Team | 51c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba6…1376backed WW Team | 37c | 63.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed WW Team | 49c | 58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2e5abacked Virtus.pro | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b53…5961backed Virtus.pro | 73c | 54.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50b4…d098backed WW Team | 40c | 50.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +289.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed WW Team | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…9996backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c2…d3ddbacked WW Team | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cba…b0e4backed WW Team | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 34cpaid | -85%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked WW Team | 34c | 32.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74e2…89a5backed WW Team | 34c | 31.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed WW Team | 32c | 31.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Virtus.pro | 51c | 23.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb06d…f130backed Virtus.pro | 66c | 21.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…ac48backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 17.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…e152backed Virtus.pro | 68c | 14.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs WW Team (BO3) - Exort Cataclysm Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs WW Team - Map 2 WinnerWW Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.