Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Sentinels vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62a46193e80c9ee8bb2a0a8060931224a5d24a674d00d1e4bc4c1924aaee8718
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leviatán Esportsof Sentinels, Leviatán Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf84e…6cbebacked Sentinels | 61c | 3,312$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.6 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Leviatán Esports | 55c | 3,067$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.69 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Leviatán Esports | 50c | 2,237$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.24 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Leviatán Esports | 51c | 1,969$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.55 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Sentinels | 31c | 1,307$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.31 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Leviatán Esports | 62c | 1,000$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Sentinels | 4c | 994.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Leviatán Esports | 67c | 725.52$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.64 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Sentinels | 50c | 711.92$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.86 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Sentinels | 35c | 585$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.19 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Sentinels | 36c | 585$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.32 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Leviatán Esports | 55c | 498$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.25 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Leviatán Esports | 71c | 448$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.92 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…9dd0backed Sentinels | 80c | 435.93$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.74 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Sentinels | 45c | 393.93$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.72 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Sentinels | 76c | 359.48$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.8 | 224 | 55.4%124 W · 100 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Sentinels | 36c | 348.98$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.43 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Leviatán Esports | 53c | 337.32$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.77 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Sentinels | 36c | 297.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.48 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Sentinels | 46c | 292.29$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.45 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked Sentinels | 58c | 265.35$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.05 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Sentinels | 55c | 263.52$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.09 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed Sentinels | 41c | 260$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Sentinels | 57c | 247.37$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Leviatán Esports | 49c | 232.9$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.78 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked Sentinels | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…9f80backed Leviatán Esports | 66c | 160$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Leviatán Esports | 56c | 154.13$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.82 | 173 | 32.4%56 W · 117 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…3d4cbacked Sentinels | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 16.9%13 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…fbfcbacked Leviatán Esports | 63c | 125.49$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -47%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked Leviatán Esports | 42c | 117.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.73 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ba…d81dbacked Leviatán Esports | 54c | 92.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1976…e363backed Leviatán Esports | 59c | 85.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed Sentinels | 68c | 73.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004d…2f67backed Sentinels | 36c | 71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Sentinels | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cba…b0e4backed Sentinels | 52c | 57.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked Leviatán Esports | 58c | 53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9a…796cbacked Leviatán Esports | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Sentinels | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…227bbacked Leviatán Esports | 71c | 33.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Leviatán Esports | 52c | 29.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…3185backed Leviatán Esports | 41c | 28.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…59c6backed Leviatán Esports | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed Sentinels | 61c | 17.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Sentinels vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+1.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Valorant: Sentinels vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff PlayoffsLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: Sentinels vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 WinnerLeviatán Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.