CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x673dd309da7fb066f88b8d480aa1d8ed74e365fec176d0f425ae3e6efd56ac0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Passion UAof Passion UA, Wildcard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Passion UA | 74c | 6,368$4,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.73 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Wildcard | 1c | 6,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wildcard | 26c | 4,712$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.7 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Wildcard | 25c | 4,694$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.05 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Wildcard | 12c | 4,452$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.97 | 84 | 16.7%14 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…d7f4backed Passion UA | 76c | 4,094$3,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.27 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc24…c8c4backed Passion UA | 79c | 2,539$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.24 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Passion UA | 79c | 1,972$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.8 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5b…3772backed Wildcard | 8c | 1,793$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.36 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Passion UA | 72c | 1,063$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.2 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…456bbacked Passion UA | 73c | 605$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.5 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Wildcard | 27c | 574.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.22 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Wildcard | 13c | 461$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Wildcard | 18c | 454.51$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4725…619bbacked Passion UA | 74c | 421.74$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.65 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wildcard | 29c | 412$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.87 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac1…2ea7backed Wildcard | 11c | 363.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Wildcard | 29c | 347.15$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.62 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3145…fcf5backed Wildcard | 13c | 315.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Wildcard | 20c | 275.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Wildcard | 29c | 265$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.25 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed Wildcard | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Passion UA | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Wildcard | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Wildcard | 22c | 159.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd95e…ae93backed Wildcard | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc58…1e76backed Passion UA | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Passion UA | 71c | 123.92$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed Wildcard | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…5299backed Wildcard | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Wildcard | 27c | 95.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec2…aed7backed Wildcard | 23c | 66.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…916dbacked Wildcard | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Wildcard | 25c | 57.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0cba…b0e4backed Wildcard | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 34cpaid | -85%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Passion UA | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 471 | 65.2%307 W · 164 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe792…80bcbacked Passion UA | 79c | 44.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…0bbbbacked Passion UA | 76c | 37.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked Passion UA | 77c | 33.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…87a1backed Passion UA | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed Passion UA | 72c | 17.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 159 | 58.5%93 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Wildcard (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: American Qualifier PlayoffsPassion UA won
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Wildcard - Map 1 WinnerWildcard won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: PSSN.UA (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)Wildcard won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.