CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Wildcard - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x119257ff9099742a38b45c470c4a3c2c435bf909a4bcca214437c5052184f360
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildcardof Passion UA, Wildcard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Wildcard | 76c | 10,362$7,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,464.67 | 821 | 43%353 W · 468 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…76b3backed Passion UA | 44c | 3,248$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Wildcard | 35c | 2,306$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.28 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Passion UA | 43c | 2,240$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.37 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe09a…d020backed Passion UA | 65c | 2,165$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Passion UA | 67c | 2,101$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.67 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Passion UA | 54c | 1,998$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.77 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Wildcard | 37c | 1,788$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.41 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…d7f4backed Wildcard | 42c | 1,124$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.65 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb11d…be92backed Passion UA | 1c | 1,104$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc537…f385backed Passion UA | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Passion UA | 39c | 575.6$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.07 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Wildcard | 67c | 550$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.5 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Passion UA | 11c | 545$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Passion UA | 75c | 542$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.05 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Wildcard | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 164 | 48.2%79 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5241…0045backed Passion UA | 61c | 399.99$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4425…12efbacked Passion UA | 61c | 330$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.3 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…d66fbacked Wildcard | 40c | 263.75$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.25 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Passion UA | 76c | 233.35$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.97 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Passion UA | 66c | 210$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 455 | 44.4%202 W · 253 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Passion UA | 71c | 186.51$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.82 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Wildcard | 59c | 184.4$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.94 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed Wildcard | 24c | 150$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9904…a28dbacked Wildcard | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Wildcard | 41c | 149$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.6 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Passion UA | 72c | 147.22$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.1 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Passion UA | 58c | 134.65$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.59 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Passion UA | 62c | 121.94$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfc…e8efbacked Passion UA | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x612e…8427backed Wildcard | 30c | 33.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Wildcard | 37c | 32.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Wildcard | 43c | 30.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…916dbacked Wildcard | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ae…b4ffbacked Passion UA | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…b09ebacked Passion UA | 73c | 23.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x215c…eb01backed Passion UA | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Wildcard | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Passion UA | 66c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 489 | 41.9%205 W · 284 L | -14.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Wildcard - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Wildcard (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: American Qualifier PlayoffsPassion UA won
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Wildcard - Map 2 WinnerPassion UA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: PSSN.UA (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)Wildcard won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.