Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x249024d1c1d51655e2da236a6150e568916b738730f389a17929838fddb9e8d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIA Esportsof FURIA Esports, G2 Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9936…1d7dbacked FURIA Esports | 35c | 952.5$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed G2 Esports | 67c | 697.18$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.11 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked G2 Esports | 48c | 525.63$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed G2 Esports | 55c | 500$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.27 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed FURIA Esports | 41c | 434.13$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.33 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed FURIA Esports | 57c | 418.4$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.02 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked FURIA Esports | 33c | 306.52$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.67 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FURIA Esports | 56c | 291.94$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.4 | 932 | 48.1%448 W · 484 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed G2 Esports | 56c | 205$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.7 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed G2 Esports | 29c | 200.22$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked G2 Esports | 64c | 195$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed G2 Esports | 67c | 176$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.68 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed FURIA Esports | 41c | 126.72$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.02 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…227bbacked G2 Esports | 44c | 101.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…fa4ebacked G2 Esports | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cba…b0e4backed FURIA Esports | 46c | 87.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed FURIA Esports | 45c | 68.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed G2 Esports | 50c | 57.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed FURIA Esports | 41c | 54.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed FURIA Esports | 59c | 53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae6e…b24fbacked G2 Esports | 55c | 51.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked FURIA Esports | 43c | 46.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed G2 Esports | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed G2 Esports | 69c | 26.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)FURIA Esports won
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff PlayoffsFURIA Esports won
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.