Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacd294320ef2c1010246b95e7fab21e60c82c2c4f9c484f1846b149ccf7ac730
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Esportsof FURIA Esports, G2 Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FURIA Esports | 1c | 4,879$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed G2 Esports | 80c | 1,302$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.33 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed G2 Esports | 69c | 668.61$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.09 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc0…b72dbacked FURIA Esports | 18c | 520.21$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec24…9544backed FURIA Esports | 24c | 416.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked FURIA Esports | 36c | 289.83$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.44 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed FURIA Esports | 32c | 188$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.15 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed G2 Esports | 75c | 185$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.18 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa46e…8bacbacked FURIA Esports | 33c | 160.36$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed FURIA Esports | 24c | 142.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed G2 Esports | 75c | 125.47$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed FURIA Esports | 21c | 110.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed FURIA Esports | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked FURIA Esports | 22c | 91.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed G2 Esports | 72c | 68.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked G2 Esports | 65c | 59.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…50d8backed FURIA Esports | 18c | 56.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 102 | 17.6%18 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FURIA Esports | 29c | 48.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed G2 Esports | 75c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)FURIA Esports won
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff PlayoffsFURIA Esports won
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 1 WinnerFURIA Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.