TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Timberwolvesof Trail Blazers, Timberwolves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,377
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,377

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,377 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0cba…b0e4backed Trail Blazers29c51.72$15 inLost-$151910.5%2 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick22cpaid-51.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7a7…8d8dbacked Timberwolves66c51$34 inWon+$17.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1472…8635backed Timberwolves67c49$33 inWon+$16.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c57…d1d7backed Trail Blazers30c47$14 inLost-$14.13650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ab2…a34fbacked Trail Blazers35c36$13 inLost-$12.77250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ebf…beaabacked Trail Blazers31c33$10 inLost-$10.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e6…ac47backed Timberwolves69c33$23 inWon+$10.08475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+24.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves71c32.78$23 inWon+$9.425,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Timberwolves62c31.44$19 inWon+$12.021,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3419…e404backed Timberwolves64c29$19 inWon+$10.445100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf22…531bbacked Timberwolves68c23$16 inWon+$7.42580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x944b…34e8backed Timberwolves64c20$13 inWon+$7.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbf4…e21bbacked Timberwolves73c19$14 inWon+$5.13250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb374…f22dbacked Timberwolves64c19$12 inWon+$6.84475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+64.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe579…08d0backed Timberwolves64c18$12 inWon+$6.48366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb68c…16c8backed Timberwolves73c18$13 inWon+$4.86757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick72cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8b…2f4ebacked Timberwolves64c18$12 inWon+$6.48650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69e2…48a0backed Timberwolves67c17$11 inWon+$5.61666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe1…14e5backed Timberwolves63c17$11 inWon+$6.29633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-50.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xedf0…753bbacked Timberwolves64c17$11 inWon+$6.12450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdca6…f860backed Timberwolves64c17$11 inWon+$6.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc771…69fbbacked Timberwolves64c17$11 inWon+$6.05540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-40.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcece…d26ebacked Timberwolves64c17$11 inWon+$6.12666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69c0…6c89backed Timberwolves64c16$10 inWon+$5.76475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6809…a9fcbacked Timberwolves64c16$10 inWon+$5.76560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd92…1be3backed Timberwolves64c16$10 inWon+$5.76450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.