NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3a7a3a2a2eef2a1f493710f499a556ca1f882f7368d1d1cad0c453a67fc5c7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 37,469$19,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,684.39 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Timberwolves | 53c | 26,391$13,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,403.99 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 23,075$10,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,895.66 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 10,602$5,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,008.8 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 5,254$2,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.18 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 4,468$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 3,156$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.54 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 2,987$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 2,277$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.73 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 2,194$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.45 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 2,080$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.6 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 2,080$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.6 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 1,910$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.5 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 1,406$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Trail Blazers | 35c | 1,298$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.61 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 1,117$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.94 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 1,040$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.8 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…0bfabacked Timberwolves | 55c | 892$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.4 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Timberwolves | 53c | 722.16$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.42 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Timberwolves | 50c | 623.97$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.99 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…2c41backed Timberwolves | 60c | 418.95$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.95 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Trail Blazers | 42c | 410.55$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.26 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 339.09$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.3 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Timberwolves | 52c | 300$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.08 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 294.36$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.7 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Timberwolves | 51c | 203$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.47 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Trail Blazers | 40c | 190.63$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.01 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 144.6$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.62 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Timberwolves | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Timberwolves | 53c | 111.9$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.59 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Trail Blazers | 43c | 107.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 65c | 96$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Timberwolves | 56c | 86.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Timberwolves | 66c | 83.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Timberwolves | 60c | 70.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 68.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Timberwolves | 57c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Timberwolves | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Timberwolves | 58c | 48.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 40.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdc…b580backed Timberwolves | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Timberwolves | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Trail Blazers | 41c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Timberwolves | 68c | 37.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Timberwolves | 58c | 34.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 33.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Trail Blazers | 42c | 30.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9a55…fe8bbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed Timberwolves | 64c | 18.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)this page
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Timberwolves won
- Trail Blazers vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.