NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ddbd4faa0ddd208536b84f9ca7f0249f73c3df58cc5e712d0cfd7b266306b3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 12,300$5,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,342.84 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 53c | 8,984$4,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,757 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 52c | 8,441$4,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,051.83 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 48c | 7,864$3,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,111.06 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 52c | 6,865$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,295.2 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 53c | 6,621$3,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,492.41 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Under | 46c | 5,599$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575.47 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Under | 45c | 5,588$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.89 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.15 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 53c | 4,892$2,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.38 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 4,829$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325.41 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Over | 50c | 4,078$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 4,052$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.63 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.17 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 51c | 2,352$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.52 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 1,735$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.52 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 49c | 1,250$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.5 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 888.38$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.97 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 46c | 649.27$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.46 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…b901backed Under | 46c | 563.04$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 26c | 446.15$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 54c | 394.96$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.68 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 47c | 125.37$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.3 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 49c | 108.16$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 58c | 86.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Under | 56c | 86.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 53c | 73.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 26c | 55.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 44c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…e50cbacked Over | 56c | 47.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Over | 66c | 40.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Under | 45c | 35.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 43c | 33.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 46c | 30.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 50c | 29.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…c029backed Over | 55c | 25.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 47c | 22.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 57c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5this page
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Timberwolves won
- Trail Blazers vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.