NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x809496c79851ace5da74ae4b8d37c72c5a0959e09150eb22607161582e9119dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $274,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $314,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 50c | 44,781$22,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,254.95 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 50c | 42,432$21,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,215.77 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 50c | 40,000$20,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,799.99 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Over | 50c | 33,918$16,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,901.79 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 50c | 20,000$10,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,900 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under | 50c | 13,182$6,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,591 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 49c | 12,500$6,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,125 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 49c | 11,838$5,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800.53 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b83…23f1backed Over | 50c | 11,739$5,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,869.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Under | 50c | 7,990$3,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,995 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 7,542$3,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,716.72 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdb…873fbacked Over | 50c | 7,128$3,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,564 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 5,791$2,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,909 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…8d52backed Under | 49c | 5,482$2,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,795.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13cd…0a58backed Under | 49c | 5,468$2,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,788.68 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a39…2cf9backed Under | 49c | 5,425$2,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,766.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x706a…8afabacked Under | 49c | 5,373$2,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,740.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c0…516dbacked Under | 49c | 5,312$2,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,709.12 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 52c | 5,289$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750.47 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745b…b527backed Under | 49c | 5,244$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,674.38 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad3…b6e5backed Under | 49c | 5,211$2,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,657.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Over | 50c | 4,406$2,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,203.16 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ea…0637backed Under | 48c | 4,028$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.35 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -57%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Over | 50c | 3,988$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa3…6d59backed Over | 51c | 3,750$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91e2…1362backed Under | 49c | 2,800$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 51c | 2,639$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.89 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1611…3b81backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b04…0786backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5342…a870backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x614c…88e6backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ad…cb27backed Over | 51c | 1,967$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…9471backed Over | 51c | 1,954$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x130f…bae0backed Under | 49c | 1,950$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7d…4affbacked Over | 51c | 1,936$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 1,932$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.93 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 1c | 1,892$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e64…1bb3backed Over | 51c | 1,884$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x199d…28c8backed Over | 51c | 1,871$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67c2…4e1cbacked Over | 51c | 1,831$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…ce67backed Over | 51c | 1,825$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ded…f7dabacked Over | 51c | 1,819$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad92…0927backed Under | 49c | 1,800$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb63…391fbacked Over | 51c | 1,774$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a35…b939backed Over | 51c | 1,763$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca4…618bbacked Over | 51c | 1,725$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 50c | 1,698$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.88 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc46…ea7ebacked Over | 51c | 1,683$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1457…4631backed Over | 51c | 1,657$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x527c…b273backed Over | 51c | 1,648$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ef…d106backed Over | 51c | 1,597$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ac…e5e2backed Over | 51c | 1,554$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6007…88ecbacked Over | 51c | 1,526$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…026bbacked Over | 51c | 1,501$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 52c | 1,382$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.74 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 52c | 1,231$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.28 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 49c | 1,225$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.25 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e1…cbc2backed Under | 49c | 1,150$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 49c | 1,143$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.07 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a8…2aa9backed Over | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 51c | 1,000$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Under | 48c | 982.33$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.81 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 50c | 937.45$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.64 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 50c | 895$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.5 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff70…ff48backed Over | 51c | 850$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Over | 47c | 798.99$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.34 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 50c | 796.5$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.86 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Under | 49c | 764.65$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.97 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 48c | 630.49$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.94 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 49c | 561$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.11 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Over | 51c | 555$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.05 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 488.66$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.65 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Under | 48c | 399.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.99 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 49c | 377.55$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 316.3$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.78 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Over | 50c | 237$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 53c | 159.05$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.75 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 131.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Over | 49c | 118.34$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 53c | 100.94$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939a…2f45backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf2…740bbacked Over | 50c | 98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 180 | 40.6%73 W · 107 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Under | 51c | 95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | +21.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Under | 51c | 87.27$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 243 | 32.9%80 W · 163 L | -22.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 51c | 83.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Over | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Over | 50c | 77.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Pelicans won
- Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Kenrich Williams: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Pelicans vs. ThunderThunder won
- Pelicans vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Pelicans vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5Under won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 32.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Pelicans won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.