NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x615b578f1bae9232270a48275937dd6bc8307451abcc1bc8afb50eb9524499f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Bulls | 49c | 9,000$4,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,409.98 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd25…c793backed Nuggets | 51c | 8,081$4,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,959.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0e…9beabacked Bulls | 49c | 7,876$3,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,859.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Nuggets | 51c | 7,145$3,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500.48 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…cc5fbacked Bulls | 49c | 5,232$2,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,563.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a1…10e3backed Bulls | 49c | 5,207$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,551.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98f1…0212backed Nuggets | 51c | 5,171$2,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1293…0503backed Nuggets | 51c | 5,028$2,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,463.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2437…2edcbacked Nuggets | 57c | 4,821$2,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,073.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6d…be7bbacked Bulls | 49c | 4,547$2,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,227.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83df…14afbacked Nuggets | 51c | 4,502$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,206.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a7…6d5ebacked Nuggets | 51c | 3,735$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x869f…7a8bbacked Nuggets | 52c | 3,704$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.9 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…d841backed Bulls | 49c | 3,669$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bulls | 46c | 3,348$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…0e16backed Bulls | 49c | 3,318$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…1ad6backed Nuggets | 51c | 3,214$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…15eabacked Nuggets | 51c | 2,518$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d41…8735backed Bulls | 49c | 2,370$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa349…9d14backed Nuggets | 51c | 2,344$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…8dc5backed Bulls | 49c | 2,162$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9552…f9d2backed Bulls | 43c | 2,100$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…f0cdbacked Nuggets | 51c | 1,945$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…1f7bbacked Bulls | 43c | 1,900$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,838$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.42 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59da…30e7backed Bulls | 49c | 1,675$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Nuggets | 53c | 1,341$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.2 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls | 44c | 1,113$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.69 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e21…f0c0backed Bulls | 49c | 1,092$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Bulls | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7807…89d3backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,062$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 53c | 995.97$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.26 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…47efbacked Bulls | 46c | 950$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…9cbcbacked Bulls | 43c | 821.04$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bde…ca3abacked Nuggets | 51c | 792.99$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.57 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5083…9cbdbacked Bulls | 49c | 792.99$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Nuggets | 51c | 739.63$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.09 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls | 46c | 653.63$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.05 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Bulls | 39c | 529.72$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.29 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bulls | 51c | 497.43$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.61 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…95d0backed Bulls | 52c | 386.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.42 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 21cpaid | -84%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Nuggets | 52c | 381.98$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.17 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Nuggets | 48c | 348.15$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.04 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Nuggets | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Nuggets | 58c | 283.98$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Bulls | 50c | 275$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Nuggets | 54c | 268.11$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.33 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Bulls | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…6f00backed Nuggets | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bulls | 42c | 180.09$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.55 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Bulls | 51c | 157.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Bulls | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Nuggets | 52c | 149.67$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.84 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Bulls | 46c | 144.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.47 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Bulls | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bulls | 48c | 133.64$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bulls | 47c | 126.7$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.12 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Nuggets | 59c | 111.86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.86 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05c…951ebacked Bulls | 20c | 102.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Nuggets | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Nuggets | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Nuggets | 56c | 96.75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 470 | 45.1%212 W · 258 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ff…a806backed Nuggets | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 160 | 30.6%49 W · 111 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked Bulls | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Bulls | 51c | 69.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bulls | 47c | 66.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Nuggets | 57c | 55.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nuggets | 54c | 52.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e07…b908backed Nuggets | 59c | 51.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…7bb6backed Nuggets | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Nuggets | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets | 49c | 49.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Nuggets | 61c | 46.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Nuggets | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Bulls | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 355 | 51.3%182 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed Nuggets | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Nuggets | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Nuggets | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nuggets | 49c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…1271backed Nuggets | 46c | 35.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 133 | 38.3%51 W · 82 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Nuggets | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…7909backed Nuggets | 52c | 30.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bulls | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…73fbbacked Bulls | 56c | 29.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Nuggets | 61c | 29.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Nuggets | 54c | 27.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a6…a17ebacked Bulls | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Nuggets | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbd…6ffebacked Bulls | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Nuggets | 62c | 16.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Bulls won
- Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Nuggets vs. BullsNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 228.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 229.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.