NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2cdf4be309000cf811aa21df3b922ee2bad839cfd0b352b1a7c9d1635d403a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $287,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $302,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Bulls | 50c | 100,000$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Nuggets | 56c | 57,572$32,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,362.7 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Nuggets | 50c | 54,783$27,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,391.25 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Bulls | 51c | 35,000$17,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,849.96 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 53c | 33,104$17,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,416.86 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Nuggets | 49c | 23,265$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,865.31 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets | 51c | 15,265$7,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,496.45 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Nuggets | 55c | 14,705$8,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,617.26 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Nuggets | 50c | 11,487$5,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,733.52 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 52c | 11,095$5,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,376.39 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Nuggets | 54c | 8,862$4,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,076.55 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Nuggets | 55c | 8,543$4,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,844.45 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Bulls | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.99 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Nuggets | 50c | 7,188$3,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,594 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Bulls | 45c | 5,604$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,521.79 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Nuggets | 50c | 4,977$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,488.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Bulls | 45c | 4,138$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,865.73 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Nuggets | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Bulls | 44c | 3,875$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705 | 314 | 55.1%173 W · 141 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…fe50backed Nuggets | 49c | 3,469$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.39 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabba…e3ebbacked Nuggets | 50c | 2,800$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Bulls | 44c | 2,438$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.57 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Nuggets | 55c | 2,181$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.49 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bulls | 51c | 1,810$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.81 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbab9…54d4backed Bulls | 45c | 1,553$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bulls | 44c | 1,390$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.6 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Nuggets | 56c | 1,364$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.29 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Nuggets | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.49 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bulls | 46c | 1,196$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 44c | 1,145$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.81 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Nuggets | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Bulls | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bulls | 44c | 940.33$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.89 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Nuggets | 55c | 669$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.05 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Nuggets | 53c | 464.49$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.89 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Bulls | 44c | 403.32$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.46 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Nuggets | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls | 44c | 270$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bulls | 70c | 229$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.3 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed Nuggets | 70c | 210$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Bulls | 53c | 209.43$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Nuggets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7c…bfd7backed Nuggets | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Nuggets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed Bulls | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…b328backed Nuggets | 55c | 186.57$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.85 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Nuggets | 50c | 172.88$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.29 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05c…951ebacked Nuggets | 15c | 166.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.37 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Bulls | 49c | 158$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.42 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Bulls | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bulls | 62c | 118.08$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.33 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Nuggets | 51c | 105.26$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Bulls | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…2f3dbacked Nuggets | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nuggets | 53c | 97.27$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.04 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…f73cbacked Nuggets | 52c | 94.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Bulls | 63c | 91.18$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Nuggets | 48c | 75.62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.32 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Nuggets | 55c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…3c6fbacked Bulls | 46c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed Nuggets | 49c | 59.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 173 | 31.8%55 W · 118 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…6568backed Nuggets | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 319 | 55.2%176 W · 143 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Bulls | 61c | 52.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 470 | 45.1%212 W · 258 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Bulls | 39c | 51.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Nuggets | 77c | 51.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 340 | 50.3%171 W · 169 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Bulls | 54c | 47.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Nuggets | 52c | 43.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…889cbacked Nuggets | 47c | 41.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44e…c6b8backed Nuggets | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe477…e618backed Bulls | 51c | 39.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Nuggets | 55c | 38.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Nuggets | 51c | 37.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a1…224dbacked Bulls | 52c | 37.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Nuggets | 48c | 36.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Nuggets | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Nuggets | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Nuggets | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 273 | 59%161 W · 112 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Nuggets | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…d11ebacked Nuggets | 49c | 33.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b07…869abacked Bulls | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5de…a312backed Bulls | 52c | 27.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x668c…fc62backed Bulls | 52c | 27.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nuggets | 60c | 26.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…13d8backed Nuggets | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Nuggets | 61c | 25.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Nuggets | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Nuggets | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 216 | 45.8%99 W · 117 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718f…15b1backed Bulls | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Bulls | 51c | 20.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…2c35backed Nuggets | 55c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 108 | 56.5%61 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b8…4d86backed Nuggets | 56c | 18.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.46per pick | 41cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Bulls won
- Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Nuggets vs. BullsNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 228.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 229.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.