Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1c31f1abcef4f583fd04172be08596d2da69b9a6e7739f6b07d7fadc2bd6fef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,819 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30b0…ef51backed Yes | 28c | 2,950$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…bcf4backed No | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +196.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2508…2e79backed No | 72c | 1,450$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 8c | 712.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 84 | 10.7%9 W · 75 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…06bcbacked Yes | 31c | 327.01$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.77 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 12c | 317.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 346 | 18.8%65 W · 281 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…9236backed Yes | 24c | 305.06$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.42 | 354 | 32.5%115 W · 239 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 9c | 299.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 28c | 296$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.71 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 66c | 288.36$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.37 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked No | 60c | 277.79$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.36 | 575 | 45%259 W · 316 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa96a…1377backed No | 66c | 243.73$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.03 | 541 | 43.6%236 W · 305 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99cb…4bc2backed No | 74c | 242.56$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.11 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 39c | 232$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.12 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 73c | 227.35$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.17 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 14c | 200.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 601 | 21%126 W · 475 L | -25.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…cf0fbacked Yes | 45c | 199.72$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.04 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd914…a9c2backed Yes | 17c | 191.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 25c | 182$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…cdb2backed Yes | 37c | 179.13$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.47 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked No | 78c | 166.46$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 576 | 59%340 W · 236 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…04cebacked Yes | 14c | 162.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…c619backed No | 72c | 138.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 75 | 76%57 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 21c | 136.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…34d2backed No | 76c | 130.8$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 66 | 74.2%49 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 30c | 130.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…44dfbacked Yes | 32c | 123.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…96e3backed No | 70c | 122.14$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 522 | 45%235 W · 287 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 27c | 114.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb616…0086backed Yes | 19c | 109.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 164 | 34.1%56 W · 108 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 26c | 106.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…5c2abacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf6…c61bbacked No | 67c | 95.49$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 608 | 51.2%311 W · 297 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 20c | 92.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…ac89backed Yes | 29c | 89.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 29c | 84.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…8e5cbacked Yes | 30c | 77.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 303 | 33%100 W · 203 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 69c | 75.38$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed Yes | 49c | 73.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 665 | 43.6%290 W · 375 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 31c | 73.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed Yes | 23c | 65.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 27c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 358 | 43.9%157 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 667 | 35.4%236 W · 431 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 35c | 58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0d…4ed5backed No | 76c | 56.59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 72cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…18a2backed Yes | 38c | 52.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 435 | 15.2%66 W · 369 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Yes | 31c | 50.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a3…bca4backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Yes | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 542 | 32.3%175 W · 367 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf03d…2bcfbacked No | 68c | 48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2205…8089backed No | 73c | 47.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 290 | 56.2%163 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe573…ae05backed Yes | 37c | 40.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac8…0837backed No | 75c | 40.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca5…9ababacked No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | -10.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…c66bbacked No | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ae…6754backed No | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 74c | 39.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 64c | 39.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 50c | 39.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 69c | 39.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf12…cda6backed No | 55c | 38.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb9…8e7dbacked No | 76c | 38.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…b6a9backed Yes | 38c | 38.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed Yes | 39c | 33.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6c…d8cdbacked No | 76c | 32.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 73 | 75.3%55 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Yes | 31c | 32.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 409 | 35%143 W · 266 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a2…5cdabacked No | 76c | 31.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 58 | 72.4%42 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9be2…cba5backed No | 76c | 30.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 74cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…ab15backed Yes | 36c | 30.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76ae…99f1backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6883…4406backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 77cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 61c | 27.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…5584backed No | 67c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 55c | 25.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1b…4f09backed Yes | 54c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3142…441fbacked No | 75c | 20.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…15c2backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 173 | 64.7%112 W · 61 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc744…955cbacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd08a…60a4backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd725…0ba3backed No | 73c | 18.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e5…df92backed No | 71c | 16.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe466…1a58backed No | 68c | 15.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b9…7023backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…50ebbacked No | 70c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 315 | 67%211 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd65…c0b1backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadad…f309backed No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 73c | 14.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 763 | 71.4%545 W · 218 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C or higher on March 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 6?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.