Euroleague · resolved market
Beijing Ducks vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeffa5bfdf45bc3b17d16a4c2bcd5d1c7b768bb9febcf2fa09f70ab701e068910
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Beijing Ducksof Beijing Ducks, Guangzhou Loong Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Beijing Ducks | 77c | 13,402$10,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,081.02 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 19c | 4,839$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.5 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 21c | 3,683$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.8 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 17c | 2,314$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.4 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 10c | 2,226$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.37 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 30c | 1,723$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.8 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75c…b6d3backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 16c | 1,704$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.57 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Beijing Ducks | 70c | 1,403$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.86 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 17c | 917.62$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.46 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 24c | 884.07$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.85 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 30c | 814.2$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.75 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ea…ab57backed Beijing Ducks | 71c | 801.93$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 28c | 670.98$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.64 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 25c | 650.73$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.12 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 28c | 637.91$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.57 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…140bbacked Beijing Ducks | 79c | 592.41$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 16c | 590.72$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.98 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 14c | 541.94$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.87 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Beijing Ducks | 78c | 503.19$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Beijing Ducks | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 19c | 465.95$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.22 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Beijing Ducks | 70c | 449.02$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.79 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 27c | 413.06$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.31 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 25c | 409.14$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.7 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 20c | 373.87$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.03 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 25c | 372.25$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 22c | 349.47$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.26 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb33…fadebacked Beijing Ducks | 80c | 296.4$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Beijing Ducks | 66c | 293.88$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.92 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x765d…610bbacked Beijing Ducks | 73c | 280.46$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Beijing Ducks | 71c | 257.72$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.74 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 14c | 256.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 21c | 246.35$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.09 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 13c | 240.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 86 | 11.6%10 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 19c | 201.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Beijing Ducks | 74c | 197$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.16 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Beijing Ducks | 78c | 193.56$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…626dbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 15c | 189.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Beijing Ducks | 70c | 178.26$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.03 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 17c | 161.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…6ad7backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 29c | 147.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Beijing Ducks | 73c | 143.56$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.63 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 19c | 137.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 20c | 128.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 29c | 128.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 16c | 125.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 23c | 115.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 28c | 111.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6826…d188backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 12c | 109.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 26c | 108.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked Beijing Ducks | 73c | 108.19$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…9341backed Beijing Ducks | 71c | 101.76$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 31c | 99.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -56%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 26c | 94.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Beijing Ducks | 73c | 93.58$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…08fbbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 14c | 92.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 27c | 90.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…8f90backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 30c | 89.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 17c | 72.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Beijing Ducks | 75c | 71.9$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 21c | 64.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 30c | 63.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 18c | 63.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 26c | 61.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 18c | 60.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 21c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Beijing Ducks | 78c | 55.32$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Beijing Ducks | 77c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Beijing Ducks | 76c | 52.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 22c | 47.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea8…077dbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 24c | 45.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Beijing Ducks | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Beijing Ducks | 72c | 38.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Beijing Ducks | 78c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Beijing Ducks | 78c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141d…7ea0backed Beijing Ducks | 75c | 36.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Beijing Ducks | 79c | 29.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd742…7216backed Beijing Ducks | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Beijing Ducks | 72c | 27.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e2…5588backed Beijing Ducks | 79c | 26.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Beijing Ducks | 76c | 23.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Beijing Ducks | 72c | 19.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Beijing Ducks | 72c | 19.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Beijing Ducks | 72c | 19.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Beijing Ducks | 72c | 19.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Beijing Ducks | 72c | 19.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Beijing Ducks | 72c | 19.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Beijing Ducks | 72c | 19.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Beijing Ducks | 72c | 19.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Beijing Ducks | 72c | 19.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Beijing Ducks | 77c | 19.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1c…2bf2backed Beijing Ducks | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Beijing Ducks | 78c | 16.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Beijing Ducks | 74c | 13.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +11.5wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Beijing Ducks | 79c | 12.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.7 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.