Euroleague · resolved market
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Shanghai Sharks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75b0a9e750db6af704429fe195cebb72e393e131193f6cc1d9e051416efa9c95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shanghai Sharksof Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin, Shanghai Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 10c | 2,399$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.03 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 24c | 1,755$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.3 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 25c | 1,631$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.65 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843c…126cbacked Shanghai Sharks | 76c | 1,325$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 8c | 1,220$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.82 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 3c | 618.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…6099backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 3c | 542.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1570…de29backed Shanghai Sharks | 75c | 500.09$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.02 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Shanghai Sharks | 76c | 499.83$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.41 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb75c…b6d3backed Shanghai Sharks | 74c | 465.59$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.05 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 21c | 446.96$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.86 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3048…057fbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…a3bebacked Shanghai Sharks | 75c | 382.77$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.19 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3626…3834backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 28c | 354.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 25c | 352.6$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.89 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 23c | 288.6$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.38 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…3c52backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 24c | 213.66$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 26c | 178.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Shanghai Sharks | 74c | 155.2$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 27c | 150.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Shanghai Sharks | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 23c | 99.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 23c | 96.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8a…1cb9backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 24c | 45.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e0…d1cebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Shanghai Sharks | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…8807backed Shanghai Sharks | 73c | 20.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Shanghai Sharks | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b9…b487backed Shanghai Sharks | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…8216backed Shanghai Sharks | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Shanghai Sharks | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddc6…1c23backed Shanghai Sharks | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357a…85a7backed Shanghai Sharks | 77c | 15.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.