TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Spursof Knicks, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,683
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,370

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,683 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1543…baafbacked Knicks16c7,909$1,236 inLost-$1,236.3212741.7%53 W · 74 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs67c1,755$1,175 inWon+$579.662,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47bc…9504backed Knicks47c873.83$411 inLost-$410.75459.3%32 W · 22 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2055…4542backed Knicks16c828.03$132 inLost-$132.4823130.3%70 W · 161 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks24c543.99$128 inLost-$128.431,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Knicks44c500$220 inLost-$220.371,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Spurs67c463.26$309 inWon+$153.8752861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs69c445.46$310 inWon+$135.891,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Spurs75c399.99$300 inWon+$10046959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f84…be62backed Knicks16c382.13$61 inLost-$61.14922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+66.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Spurs70c236.08$166 inWon+$69.9632654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks40c227$91 inLost-$91.4693148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs74c226.92$168 inWon+$59.0253842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x663d…7d23backed Knicks17c169.12$28 inLost-$283951.3%20 W · 19 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Spurs75c161.48$121 inWon+$40.3736051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Spurs70c149.96$105 inWon+$44.6921953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks18c142.54$25 inLost-$25.352150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Spurs74c136.16$100 inWon+$35.71,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Knicks43c112.86$49 inLost-$48.7525340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Knicks28c100$28 inLost-$2841227.4%113 W · 299 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+94.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Knicks28c91.8$26 inLost-$2630842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Spurs75c89.71$67 inWon+$22.437152.1%37 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c2d…646bbacked Spurs53c88.83$47 inWon+$41.791540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Knicks15c83.94$13 inLost-$131,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Knicks21c82.66$18 inLost-$17.521,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Spurs71c79.05$56 inWon+$22.9859255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Knicks33c75$25 inLost-$24.753438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Knicks34c68.75$23 inLost-$23.381,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe046…9bc6backed Spurs70c66.45$47 inWon+$19.674961.2%30 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Knicks22c65.99$15 inLost-$14.622753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Spurs66c47$31 inWon+$15.9817644.9%79 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b2…4cebbacked Knicks37c44.31$16 inLost-$16.384327.9%12 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04ed…0adfbacked Spurs70c41.79$29 inWon+$12.554158.5%24 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x165d…a4d5backed Spurs71c41.29$29 inWon+$12.054161%25 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e0e…704abacked Spurs71c41.25$29 inWon+$12.014360.5%26 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1026…e794backed Spurs71c41.23$29 inWon+$11.994161%25 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks31c38.84$12 inLost-$12.131,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Knicks38c35$13 inLost-$13.333030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Knicks40c31.22$13 inLost-$12.554736.2%17 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Spurs60c30$18 inWon+$1271752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd479…1920backed Spurs66c20$13 inWon+$6.83850%19 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.