Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dandelions - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc3824ecc29fddf590c7e38e1f3ba263c76d9457d3869549751f86127733f477
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemiga Gamingof Nemiga Gaming, Dandelions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Dandelions | 5c | 1,996$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.59 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Nemiga Gaming | 70c | 1,062$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.33 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ee…ffe2backed Dandelions | 18c | 1,061$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Dandelions | 2c | 1,050$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Nemiga Gaming | 69c | 1,021$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.16 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…e67bbacked Dandelions | 35c | 701.58$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Dandelions | 30c | 651.99$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.6 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Dandelions | 31c | 639.09$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.86 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 66c | 537.84$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.87 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dandelions | 28c | 501.46$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.59 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 68c | 439.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.8 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…f4b4backed Dandelions | 33c | 359.72$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.58 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Dandelions | 28c | 344$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.32 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 327.85$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.14 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Nemiga Gaming | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Nemiga Gaming | 76c | 270.08$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.82 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Dandelions | 40c | 242.85$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.14 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Dandelions | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Dandelions | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 208 | 20.7%43 W · 165 L | -18.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Nemiga Gaming | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Dandelions | 36c | 192.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Dandelions | 24c | 185.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Dandelions | 33c | 167.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Nemiga Gaming | 63c | 165.01$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.16 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8d…280dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 66c | 150.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…8063backed Dandelions | 37c | 148.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.14 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6a…5957backed Dandelions | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed Nemiga Gaming | 69c | 147$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Dandelions | 31c | 140$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Dandelions | 13c | 131$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Nemiga Gaming | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Dandelions | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Nemiga Gaming | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…104cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Dandelions | 15c | 99.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Nemiga Gaming | 70c | 84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Dandelions | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed Nemiga Gaming | 66c | 77.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0010…c3a8backed Nemiga Gaming | 69c | 76.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 26 | 84.6%22 W · 4 L | +5.2wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +30%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7251…4a60backed Nemiga Gaming | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 44cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Dandelions | 40c | 72.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1b…ca93backed Dandelions | 20c | 71.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Dandelions | 41c | 71.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Nemiga Gaming | 67c | 70.01$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Nemiga Gaming | 79c | 66.96$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Nemiga Gaming | 59c | 61.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Dandelions | 37c | 51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Dandelions | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Dandelions | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed Nemiga Gaming | 67c | 46.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…1cf3backed Nemiga Gaming | 69c | 46.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Nemiga Gaming | 65c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Nemiga Gaming | 66c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…3333backed Dandelions | 34c | 45.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…ea8ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 67c | 42.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Nemiga Gaming | 72c | 41.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Nemiga Gaming | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…a618backed Nemiga Gaming | 70c | 39.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Nemiga Gaming | 71c | 35.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…45f6backed Nemiga Gaming | 64c | 31.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dandelions - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dandelions (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group BNemiga Gaming won
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dandelions - Game 1 WinnerNemiga Gaming won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: Nemiga (-1.5) vs Dandelions (+1.5)Nemiga Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.