Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dandelions - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21452c2c02e9d2e8fff212bf58e538377268a647b7b28084006b1748b29aaa8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemiga Gamingof Nemiga Gaming, Dandelions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nemiga Gaming | 77c | 5,489$4,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.6 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…f4b4backed Dandelions | 19c | 4,015$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.08 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked Dandelions | 14c | 2,339$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.83 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Dandelions | 21c | 2,238$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.7 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dandelions | 14c | 1,188$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.38 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Dandelions | 21c | 1,000$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.24 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Dandelions | 15c | 833.41$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.64 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Dandelions | 12c | 801.06$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.85 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Dandelions | 30c | 691.24$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.21 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Dandelions | 10c | 624.03$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Dandelions | 21c | 582$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.22 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Dandelions | 20c | 567$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.65 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Dandelions | 34c | 478.27$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.52 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Nemiga Gaming | 79c | 468.27$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.09 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Dandelions | 8c | 377.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Dandelions | 16c | 332.28$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nemiga Gaming | 76c | 301.41$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.65 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 247.85$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.14 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Dandelions | 40c | 242.85$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.14 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Dandelions | 13c | 205.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Dandelions | 20c | 200.48$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed Nemiga Gaming | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Dandelions | 21c | 196.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Dandelions | 12c | 160.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Dandelions | 14c | 157.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed Nemiga Gaming | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Dandelions | 16c | 139.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dandelions | 28c | 126$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Nemiga Gaming | 62c | 94.42$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 147 | 63.3%93 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Dandelions | 22c | 89.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Dandelions | 21c | 88.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a3…fad7backed Dandelions | 18c | 87.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed Dandelions | 30c | 85.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…6573backed Dandelions | 24c | 82.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Dandelions | 17c | 72.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Dandelions | 40c | 72.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Dandelions | 16c | 71.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Dandelions | 41c | 71.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Dandelions | 39c | 69.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Dandelions | 26c | 67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed Nemiga Gaming | 74c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Dandelions | 21c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefd3…bed8backed Nemiga Gaming | 61c | 64.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Nemiga Gaming | 59c | 63.12$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Nemiga Gaming | 78c | 58.01$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Dandelions | 30c | 49.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Nemiga Gaming | 62c | 42.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Dandelions | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…45f6backed Nemiga Gaming | 63c | 31.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Nemiga Gaming | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5a…6cedbacked Nemiga Gaming | 74c | 15.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dandelions - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dandelions (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group BNemiga Gaming won
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dandelions - Game 2 WinnerNemiga Gaming won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: Nemiga (-1.5) vs Dandelions (+1.5)Nemiga Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.