Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dandelions (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98af69df4d645d040cd04072d0f37e0dd4a64ebb1ea277084cd9d82df5437824
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemiga Gamingof Nemiga Gaming, Dandelions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dandelions | 14c | 7,960$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.64 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bd…3966backed Dandelions | 32c | 2,850$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed Nemiga Gaming | 68c | 1,793$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ea…36cdbacked Nemiga Gaming | 77c | 1,404$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.92 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Dandelions | 14c | 1,292$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.94 | 410 | 55.1%226 W · 184 L | +39.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 68c | 1,137$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.3 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Dandelions | 19c | 993.85$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dandelions | 13c | 877.53$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.84 | 372 | 41.9%156 W · 216 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Dandelions | 32c | 682.98$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.55 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Dandelions | 10c | 610.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.63 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e4…bd22backed Nemiga Gaming | 80c | 500$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Nemiga Gaming | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Nemiga Gaming | 66c | 481.07$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.34 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Dandelions | 34c | 438.01$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Dandelions | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 459 | 40.5%186 W · 273 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Nemiga Gaming | 74c | 381.17$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.25 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Dandelions | 22c | 378.65$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.73 | 213 | 28.2%60 W · 153 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Nemiga Gaming | 72c | 343.85$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Dandelions | 32c | 328.47$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.11 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…dc0bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 66c | 303.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.3 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Dandelions | 29c | 279.57$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.44 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Dandelions | 34c | 249$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.36 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 78c | 233.5$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.07 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Dandelions | 13c | 224$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 412 | 46.8%193 W · 219 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Dandelions | 24c | 222$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Dandelions | 29c | 219.94$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.76 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Dandelions | 14c | 206.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 435 | 60.5%263 W · 172 L | +43.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Dandelions | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Nemiga Gaming | 67c | 200$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 695 | 52.2%363 W · 332 L | +45.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Nemiga Gaming | 64c | 165.41$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.09 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fdb5backed Dandelions | 35c | 148$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Nemiga Gaming | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Dandelions | 25c | 142.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4953…bd5ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 65c | 132.8$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.66 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed Dandelions | 35c | 128.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Dandelions | 36c | 127.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Dandelions | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Dandelions | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Nemiga Gaming | 67c | 121.25$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 711 | 42.6%303 W · 408 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Dandelions | 36c | 119.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 294 | 32.3%95 W · 199 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Dandelions | 36c | 117.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked Nemiga Gaming | 68c | 106.84$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed03…1caabacked Dandelions | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Dandelions | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 535 | 33.8%181 W · 354 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aef…26f6backed Dandelions | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Nemiga Gaming | 67c | 99.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Dandelions | 34c | 98.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Nemiga Gaming | 68c | 88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 224 | 62.1%139 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Dandelions | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 524 | 50.8%266 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…bd66backed Nemiga Gaming | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…1cf3backed Nemiga Gaming | 70c | 71.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nemiga Gaming | 79c | 65.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 1,255 | 49.6%623 W · 632 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Nemiga Gaming | 67c | 65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 63c | 62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 654 | 47.4%310 W · 344 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefd3…bed8backed Nemiga Gaming | 65c | 60.51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Dandelions | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Dandelions | 32c | 47.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 385 | 47.5%183 W · 202 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89d8…df71backed Nemiga Gaming | 64c | 42.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…a618backed Nemiga Gaming | 68c | 41.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…86c3backed Dandelions | 34c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nemiga Gaming | 79c | 32.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…45f6backed Nemiga Gaming | 68c | 32.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Nemiga Gaming | 68c | 32.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafe1…d1c2backed Nemiga Gaming | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ae…61b5backed Nemiga Gaming | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Nemiga Gaming | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…a7d2backed Nemiga Gaming | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6237backed Nemiga Gaming | 63c | 28.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ef10backed Nemiga Gaming | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Nemiga Gaming | 65c | 24.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Nemiga Gaming | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e5…2300backed Nemiga Gaming | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a5…cb35backed Nemiga Gaming | 79c | 18.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Nemiga Gaming | 77c | 13.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dandelions (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dandelions - Game 1 WinnerNemiga Gaming won
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dandelions - Game 2 WinnerNemiga Gaming won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: Nemiga (-1.5) vs Dandelions (+1.5)Nemiga Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.