Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: BESTIA vs KRÜ Spark - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0762c8f9b831b6d26be594f40167b250d6c6642b3d776513ba9d911e2996fd2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIAof BESTIA, KRÜ Spark
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed BESTIA | 57c | 2,005$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.08 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked KRÜ Spark | 43c | 1,806$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.65 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed KRÜ Spark | 43c | 282.27$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.47 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed BESTIA | 54c | 181$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.02 | 230 | 55.7%128 W · 102 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked KRÜ Spark | 42c | 157.56$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 137 | 41.6%57 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked KRÜ Spark | 39c | 134$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked KRÜ Spark | 36c | 131$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed BESTIA | 58c | 116.8$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.06 | 255 | 54.9%140 W · 115 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked BESTIA | 51c | 97.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.48 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7251…4a60backed BESTIA | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed KRÜ Spark | 48c | 58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed BESTIA | 70c | 49.08$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed KRÜ Spark | 45c | 44.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…0a0dbacked BESTIA | 58c | 34.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed KRÜ Spark | 31c | 34.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…755fbacked BESTIA | 52c | 31.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed KRÜ Spark | 44c | 28.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -7.1wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed BESTIA | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked KRÜ Spark | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4f…6e10backed BESTIA | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: BESTIA vs KRÜ Spark - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs KRÜ Spark (+1.5)KRÜ Spark won
- Valorant: BESTIA vs KRÜ Spark (BO5) - VCL Latin America South: PlayoffsBESTIA won
- Valorant: BESTIA vs KRÜ Spark - Map 2 WinnerKRÜ Spark won
- Valorant: BESTIA vs KRÜ Spark - Map 3 WinnerBESTIA won
- Valorant: BESTIA vs KRÜ Spark - Map 4 WinnerKRÜ Spark won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.