Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: BESTIA vs KRÜ Spark - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe09bdf6ec6e6c51ad073d3686af61b0f1b049f3d06e967a9f38b5573038c9dfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KRÜ Sparkof BESTIA, KRÜ Spark
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked KRÜ Spark | 51c | 1,625$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.1 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed BESTIA | 57c | 886.99$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.46 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked BESTIA | 41c | 700$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…ca87backed BESTIA | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa981…ab19backed BESTIA | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked KRÜ Spark | 43c | 490.88$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.76 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…63a2backed KRÜ Spark | 46c | 434.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed BESTIA | 50c | 409.03$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.5 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed BESTIA | 64c | 379.13$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.29 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked KRÜ Spark | 59c | 336.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.2 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked BESTIA | 44c | 322.76$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.3 | 225 | 39.1%88 W · 137 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked KRÜ Spark | 54c | 321.46$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.06 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…6ac5backed KRÜ Spark | 76c | 261.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed BESTIA | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked BESTIA | 59c | 236.84$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1325…2e99backed KRÜ Spark | 59c | 228.95$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked BESTIA | 42c | 151.13$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.07 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked KRÜ Spark | 38c | 144.89$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.56 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked BESTIA | 48c | 128.73$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BESTIA | 58c | 121.91$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…e6c9backed BESTIA | 56c | 107.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked KRÜ Spark | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.21 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked BESTIA | 51c | 98.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed KRÜ Spark | 44c | 92.41$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked KRÜ Spark | 50c | 74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.31 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b5…ecffbacked BESTIA | 63c | 63.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed KRÜ Spark | 48c | 61.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked KRÜ Spark | 46c | 61.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4f…6e10backed BESTIA | 63c | 58.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed KRÜ Spark | 57c | 58.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked BESTIA | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked KRÜ Spark | 41c | 49.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked KRÜ Spark | 72c | 48.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed KRÜ Spark | 33c | 46.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed KRÜ Spark | 27c | 44.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5807…74dcbacked KRÜ Spark | 56c | 43.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf19a…2d2dbacked BESTIA | 45c | 42.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…1068backed BESTIA | 78c | 41.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed KRÜ Spark | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69d8…61b1backed KRÜ Spark | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed BESTIA | 61c | 30.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked BESTIA | 62c | 29.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ef…b2ddbacked BESTIA | 71c | 29.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed KRÜ Spark | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…0445backed BESTIA | 62c | 25.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed KRÜ Spark | 61c | 25.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 207 | 55.6%115 W · 92 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed BESTIA | 44c | 25.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked BESTIA | 68c | 24.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked BESTIA | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -18.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed KRÜ Spark | 52c | 20.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: BESTIA vs KRÜ Spark - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs KRÜ Spark (+1.5)KRÜ Spark won
- Valorant: BESTIA vs KRÜ Spark (BO5) - VCL Latin America South: PlayoffsBESTIA won
- Valorant: BESTIA vs KRÜ Spark - Map 1 WinnerBESTIA won
- Valorant: BESTIA vs KRÜ Spark - Map 3 WinnerBESTIA won
- Valorant: BESTIA vs KRÜ Spark - Map 4 WinnerKRÜ Spark won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.