Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: BESTIA vs KRÜ Spark - Map 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca896b2ba4321d464c9483ef6d6f4a24744f0b8c1629b6a55185c306b2df6f9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIAof BESTIA, KRÜ Spark
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed KRÜ Spark | 29c | 1,666$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.14 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BESTIA | 69c | 1,599$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.2 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked KRÜ Spark | 41c | 507.66$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked BESTIA | 69c | 480.91$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.68 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked BESTIA | 71c | 260$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed KRÜ Spark | 16c | 233.54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked BESTIA | 70c | 183.57$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 1,312 | 43.8%575 W · 737 L | -44.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BESTIA | 66c | 174.33$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 1,612 | 45.1%727 W · 885 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked BESTIA | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 630 | 56.3%355 W · 275 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed KRÜ Spark | 33c | 149.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed BESTIA | 65c | 143.71$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked BESTIA | 62c | 118$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed KRÜ Spark | 35c | 109.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed BESTIA | 57c | 103.03$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed KRÜ Spark | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 214 | 57%122 W · 92 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed KRÜ Spark | 43c | 92.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 1,495 | 46.6%696 W · 799 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed BESTIA | 66c | 68.95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed BESTIA | 48c | 47.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked KRÜ Spark | 27c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 705 | 43.5%307 W · 398 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ef…b2ddbacked BESTIA | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked BESTIA | 79c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked BESTIA | 80c | 34.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed BESTIA | 70c | 28.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked BESTIA | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 969 | 45%436 W · 533 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed BESTIA | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4358…3e76backed KRÜ Spark | 52c | 23.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4f…6e10backed BESTIA | 64c | 18.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: BESTIA vs KRÜ Spark - Map 3 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs KRÜ Spark (+1.5)KRÜ Spark won
- Valorant: BESTIA vs KRÜ Spark (BO5) - VCL Latin America South: PlayoffsBESTIA won
- Valorant: BESTIA vs KRÜ Spark - Map 1 WinnerBESTIA won
- Valorant: BESTIA vs KRÜ Spark - Map 2 WinnerKRÜ Spark won
- Valorant: BESTIA vs KRÜ Spark - Map 4 WinnerKRÜ Spark won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.