Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Fnatic vs GIANTX - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a8d29573d3ea0edc3027b61ab47874cc75835a0f1bddf8b3e3ceabf99b73680
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fnaticof Fnatic, GIANTX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Fnatic | 70c | 18,770$13,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,630.89 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked GIANTX | 30c | 16,737$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed GIANTX | 30c | 3,214$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.91 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked GIANTX | 11c | 3,026$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.78 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…2b51backed GIANTX | 22c | 2,273$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6277backed Fnatic | 77c | 1,958$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Fnatic | 72c | 1,528$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.17 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Fnatic | 77c | 1,283$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.75 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked GIANTX | 29c | 1,093$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked GIANTX | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed GIANTX | 8c | 943.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 220 | 18.2%40 W · 180 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked GIANTX | 26c | 823.21$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.2 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked GIANTX | 13c | 775.83$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.32 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed GIANTX | 21c | 737.87$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.03 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Fnatic | 80c | 697.39$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.66 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed GIANTX | 11c | 633.54$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.13 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed GIANTX | 9c | 630.01$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked GIANTX | 9c | 603.64$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Fnatic | 72c | 583.26$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.59 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked GIANTX | 26c | 577.78$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8d…4b6fbacked Fnatic | 75c | 534.69$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.69 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Fnatic | 75c | 518.5$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.61 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed GIANTX | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked GIANTX | 26c | 499.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Fnatic | 71c | 486.53$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.09 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 66cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fnatic | 78c | 438$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.92 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Fnatic | 71c | 431.9$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.25 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed GIANTX | 29c | 429.66$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.6 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…da03backed Fnatic | 76c | 408.11$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.95 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed GIANTX | 25c | 389.22$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Fnatic | 72c | 368.66$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.13 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked GIANTX | 7c | 366.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Fnatic | 79c | 354.98$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed GIANTX | 10c | 325$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked Fnatic | 71c | 322.51$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.53 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed GIANTX | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Fnatic | 76c | 299.6$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.51 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Fnatic | 79c | 291.02$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.63 | 389 | 50.6%197 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Fnatic | 71c | 260$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 214 | 57%122 W · 92 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed GIANTX | 29c | 259.57$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.37 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…50d8backed GIANTX | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 17.6%18 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed GIANTX | 26c | 229.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bf…05b6backed GIANTX | 28c | 202.07$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ae…b929backed GIANTX | 10c | 201.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked GIANTX | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed GIANTX | 12c | 192.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7251…4a60backed GIANTX | 29c | 174.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a96…7a34backed GIANTX | 27c | 171.14$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed GIANTX | 25c | 169.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed GIANTX | 27c | 152.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Fnatic | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked GIANTX | 13c | 125$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed GIANTX | 11c | 125$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked GIANTX | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Fnatic | 77c | 115.63$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked Fnatic | 71c | 112$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked GIANTX | 29c | 100.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb6…2ea0backed GIANTX | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…761bbacked GIANTX | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked GIANTX | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 203 | 47.3%96 W · 107 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaeb…9ec2backed Fnatic | 73c | 91.98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed Fnatic | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 263 | 54.4%143 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…a3ebbacked Fnatic | 75c | 76$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d43…3f6cbacked Fnatic | 73c | 68.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…e6c9backed Fnatic | 74c | 65.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…aea9backed Fnatic | 74c | 64.23$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked GIANTX | 23c | 58.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked GIANTX | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked GIANTX | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 339 | 47.8%162 W · 177 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5807…74dcbacked Fnatic | 75c | 43.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4967…340bbacked Fnatic | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d94…eb52backed Fnatic | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…f6ecbacked Fnatic | 73c | 25.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed Fnatic | 74c | 18.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Fnatic vs GIANTX - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-4.5) vs GIANTX (+4.5)GIANTX won
- Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)Fnatic won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group OmegaFnatic won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs GIANTX - Map 1 WinnerFnatic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.