Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa960eb76b5c9f3e805b2634a7b5658352e8a6b46b22680dda12024265f2241c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fnaticof Fnatic, GIANTX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Fnatic | 55c | 5,000$2,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.99 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed GIANTX | 45c | 3,859$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.07 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Fnatic | 50c | 1,248$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.77 | 198 | 60.6%120 W · 78 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a28…ff8cbacked Fnatic | 49c | 1,214$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked GIANTX | 48c | 1,024$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.4 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed GIANTX | 50c | 1,006$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.68 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed GIANTX | 49c | 945.77$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.59 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked GIANTX | 48c | 933.63$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.7 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Fnatic | 52c | 846.61$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.37 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed GIANTX | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked GIANTX | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…3ca3backed Fnatic | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…049bbacked Fnatic | 51c | 390.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.35 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked GIANTX | 49c | 349.99$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked GIANTX | 55c | 319.71$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.38 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked GIANTX | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Fnatic | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed GIANTX | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Fnatic | 52c | 276.33$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.64 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Fnatic | 51c | 271.12$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.85 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed GIANTX | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed GIANTX | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed GIANTX | 49c | 219$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.31 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…73c7backed Fnatic | 50c | 198.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.39 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Fnatic | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…6d74backed Fnatic | 59c | 137.39$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.33 | 255 | 55.7%142 W · 113 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked GIANTX | 49c | 116$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked GIANTX | 54c | 110$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed GIANTX | 50c | 105.06$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked GIANTX | 51c | 104.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed GIANTX | 52c | 96.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed GIANTX | 53c | 83.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.77 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Fnatic | 56c | 58.91$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed GIANTX | 50c | 43.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -15.5wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf19a…2d2dbacked GIANTX | 41c | 37.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked GIANTX | 49c | 34.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed GIANTX | 55c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Fnatic | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked GIANTX | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4442…238cbacked Fnatic | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-4.5) vs GIANTX (+4.5)GIANTX won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group OmegaFnatic won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs GIANTX - Map 1 WinnerFnatic won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs GIANTX - Map 2 WinnerFnatic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.