TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Fnatic vs GIANTX - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fnaticof Fnatic, GIANTX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$114,210
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,553

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,210 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb29f…45b5backed Fnatic47c10,483$4,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,517.143956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed GIANTX53c7,191$3,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,811.445955.9%33 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22a6…8fb7backed GIANTX47c6,081$2,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,838.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed GIANTX43c4,821$2,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,086.194740.4%19 W · 28 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6277backed Fnatic64c2,780$1,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9874557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked GIANTX27c1,974$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.221,61245.1%727 W · 885 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Fnatic48c1,755$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.1254851.1%280 W · 268 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked GIANTX45c1,712$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.1965559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked Fnatic78c1,539$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.441030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-58.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Fnatic78c1,496$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.1130652.3%160 W · 146 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed GIANTX47c1,447$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.9340944.3%181 W · 228 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked GIANTX41c1,303$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.0268458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b46…7437backed Fnatic57c1,190$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.763100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Fnatic70c1,075$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.3294361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Fnatic65c1,000$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3552254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaff…5cb1backed GIANTX2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20224.5%1 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick5cpaid-92.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed GIANTX54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick53cpaid-77.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed GIANTX10c867.33$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.32924.1%7 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae3f…defebacked Fnatic67c738.41$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.673174.2%23 W · 8 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+34%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xca51…0f4abacked Fnatic69c725.5$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Fnatic43c673.72$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.342948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf6b…ca87backed GIANTX2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12210%0 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa981…ab19backed GIANTX2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12260%0 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed GIANTX38c578.43$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.161,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Fnatic71c576.98$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.863955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed GIANTX34c547.97$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.3256551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Fnatic50c546.77$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.951,28132.1%411 W · 870 L-67.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Fnatic66c545.56$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.961,31243.8%575 W · 737 L-44.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed GIANTX52c536$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.724856.3%27 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked GIANTX35c474.18$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.5451344.6%229 W · 284 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed GIANTX29c429.31$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.55738.6%22 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked GIANTX37c426.57$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15768949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed GIANTX24c416.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019648.5%95 W · 101 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c6…933abacked Fnatic62c405.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.9612856.3%72 W · 56 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed GIANTX52c403.85$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21017853.9%96 W · 82 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x260f…6980backed Fnatic50c398.08$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.085532.7%18 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked GIANTX36c397.64$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.6852050%260 W · 260 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Fnatic53c396.79$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.3251849.6%257 W · 261 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00a8…d2c8backed GIANTX31c385.23$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1215442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked GIANTX29c381.48$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11025536.9%94 W · 161 L-0.9wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1ee…0267backed GIANTX37c367.19$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.7110655.7%59 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf490…63afbacked GIANTX33c366.99$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.116636.4%24 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked GIANTX39c348.32$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.916647%31 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Fnatic49c333.16$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.9111747%55 W · 62 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Fnatic59c329.98$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.9936648.4%177 W · 189 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0c…da03backed Fnatic73c317.75$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3611738.5%45 W · 72 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked GIANTX43c304.98$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.146150.8%31 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87a3…5857backed GIANTX33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995451.9%28 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Fnatic67c299.9$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.016336.5%23 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed GIANTX37c299.79$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11019656.6%111 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Fnatic58c298.4$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.9739350.9%200 W · 193 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b8d…4b6fbacked GIANTX38c290.11$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1107265.3%47 W · 25 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+12.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfdd…e70ebacked GIANTX33c285$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.055147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed Fnatic73c275.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.7128056.4%158 W · 122 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked GIANTX37c275$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7955348.3%267 W · 286 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed GIANTX24c264$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.086630.3%20 W · 46 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-47.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3a5…534cbacked GIANTX59c254.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013044.6%58 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed GIANTX49c254.09$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6321454.2%116 W · 98 L+0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Fnatic75c252.83$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.191,36538.9%531 W · 834 L-60.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ec7…4a76backed GIANTX60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015160.3%91 W · 60 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x13c8…a814backed Fnatic57c245.61$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.612536%9 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x901b…59efbacked GIANTX40c231.25$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.521030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Fnatic56c228.25$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2940945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x899c…8141backed Fnatic50c222.84$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.141338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-37.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5789…6407backed GIANTX49c213.73$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.931540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed GIANTX37c211.23$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.1679650%398 W · 398 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed GIANTX30c192.67$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.836446.2%168 W · 196 L+24.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Fnatic47c190.16$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.784542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54a1…f88bbacked GIANTX53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008936%32 W · 57 L-9.0wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-29.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked GIANTX43c171.23$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.514652.7%77 W · 69 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed GIANTX43c170.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5322455.4%124 W · 100 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3647…581bbacked Fnatic59c170.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.753461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed Fnatic60c170.01$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4316963.3%107 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d0…2101backed GIANTX44c158.43$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.711963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Fnatic68c157.92$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5322446.4%104 W · 120 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cf7…4b3abacked GIANTX38c155$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.92065%13 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+57.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Fnatic42c149.98$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.598646.5%40 W · 46 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x92df…7a08backed Fnatic69c144$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4410151.5%52 W · 49 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed GIANTX35c143.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024047.9%115 W · 125 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x81d1…4806backed Fnatic70c140.71$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.218357.8%48 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked GIANTX31c135.96$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8839047.9%187 W · 203 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked GIANTX41c130.28$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9778562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed Fnatic58c124.39$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9865347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked GIANTX53c122.64$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658848.9%43 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed GIANTX24c121.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0422118.1%40 W · 181 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked GIANTX40c117.88$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7914653.4%78 W · 68 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59cb…57d1backed Fnatic74c114.55$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.684850%24 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x705c…317dbacked GIANTX36c111.06$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51b6…1903backed Fnatic57c105.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2626354.4%143 W · 120 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Fnatic48c104.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.141,49546.6%696 W · 799 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb54…ed59backed GIANTX40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013540.7%55 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ea…a68ebacked Fnatic69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Fnatic65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9467250.6%340 W · 332 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Fnatic65c98.41$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.471,25349.5%620 W · 633 L-3.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed GIANTX46c94.3$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4240345.9%185 W · 218 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35ae…b929backed GIANTX43c92.36$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014443.1%62 W · 82 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2944…cf36backed GIANTX43c90$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.75743.9%25 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked GIANTX23c85.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010628.3%30 W · 76 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed GIANTX61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019945.2%90 W · 109 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0181…9b5fbacked GIANTX56c75$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4227850%139 W · 139 L+21.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.