NHL · resolved market
KHL: Lada Togliatti vs. Ak Bars Kazan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0f8868546a529aeb018d81f107f59a617763c853d15d5ce0302174364c504e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ak Bars Kazanof Lada Togliatti, Ak Bars Kazan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Ak Bars Kazan | 74c | 784.07$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.86 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lada Togliatti | 26c | 567.98$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.68 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Ak Bars Kazan | 73c | 212.54$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Lada Togliatti | 26c | 173.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6c…744ebacked Lada Togliatti | 26c | 159.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf5…7d72backed Ak Bars Kazan | 74c | 135.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Ak Bars Kazan | 61c | 130.23$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xab4c…2a53backed Lada Togliatti | 32c | 123.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.37per pick | 45cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed Ak Bars Kazan | 74c | 100.23$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Lada Togliatti | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lada Togliatti | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Lada Togliatti | 26c | 99.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Ak Bars Kazan | 80c | 88.13$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Ak Bars Kazan | 74c | 74.28$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Lada Togliatti | 26c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Ak Bars Kazan | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Lada Togliatti | 26c | 38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Ak Bars Kazan | 74c | 36.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Lada Togliatti | 40c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 73c | 32.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lada Togliatti | 43c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Lada Togliatti | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 421 | 44.4%187 W · 234 L | -28.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1afdbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 76c | 29.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 177 | 65.5%116 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Ak Bars Kazan | 74c | 24.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0a…4391backed Ak Bars Kazan | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…4cb7backed Ak Bars Kazan | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc548…c22ebacked Ak Bars Kazan | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc52b…a76fbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 74c | 18.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffc…92ccbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 75c | 16.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.43 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.