Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2413e095a9825c599929daaaaf134a39b8ca63156980f9b8609e8eb670fb24c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FTSof FTS, PuckChamp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed FTS | 53c | 6,839$3,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,212.16 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed FTS | 61c | 3,109$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.77 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed PuckChamp | 40c | 2,758$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.26 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed PuckChamp | 41c | 1,842$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.23 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked PuckChamp | 68c | 1,696$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.99 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b6…f6ffbacked PuckChamp | 40c | 1,622$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.71 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…e5dfbacked PuckChamp | 70c | 1,043$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.87 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed FTS | 32c | 924.15$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.15 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked PuckChamp | 39c | 812.78$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.54 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed FTS | 33c | 800$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…101cbacked PuckChamp | 60c | 765$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.3 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked FTS | 32c | 578.88$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.28 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed PuckChamp | 69c | 381.45$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked FTS | 31c | 350$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed PuckChamp | 42c | 331.85$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.15 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed PuckChamp | 71c | 299.99$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.99 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed PuckChamp | 38c | 296.91$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.83 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FTS | 60c | 251.06$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.29 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ac…1694backed FTS | 50c | 249.25$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…889fbacked PuckChamp | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked FTS | 55c | 230.11$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.31 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked PuckChamp | 42c | 230$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed PuckChamp | 69c | 223.15$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.74 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked FTS | 32c | 223$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.64 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae27…6fb2backed PuckChamp | 40c | 221.84$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…b6b4backed FTS | 32c | 216.23$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.04 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked PuckChamp | 69c | 215.46$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.51 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…ee29backed FTS | 30c | 210$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.55 | 174 | 51.7%90 W · 84 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf5…75efbacked PuckChamp | 68c | 202.94$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed PuckChamp | 46c | 199.75$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.27 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed FTS | 69c | 199.36$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.08 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72d5…d5eabacked PuckChamp | 70c | 183$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked PuckChamp | 33c | 169.63$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a53…71a3backed FTS | 31c | 161.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.7 | 185 | 62.7%116 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df9…0965backed PuckChamp | 70c | 157.5$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed FTS | 60c | 145$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FTS | 51c | 130.41$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.3 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed FTS | 61c | 122.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…c297backed PuckChamp | 40c | 118.57$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked FTS | 50c | 114.05$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.55 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed PuckChamp | 46c | 107.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -13.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed PuckChamp | 40c | 105$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked PuckChamp | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891a…f778backed PuckChamp | 41c | 97.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed PuckChamp | 40c | 95.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…cfcbbacked PuckChamp | 46c | 89.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…19f9backed PuckChamp | 54c | 89.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed PuckChamp | 68c | 89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.24 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd2…0985backed PuckChamp | 40c | 88.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked PuckChamp | 40c | 87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed PuckChamp | 71c | 84.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.23 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked PuckChamp | 42c | 81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FTS | 52c | 77.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ae…84d8backed FTS | 29c | 75.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.77 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…873bbacked PuckChamp | 40c | 70.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked PuckChamp | 41c | 69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked FTS | 48c | 68.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed PuckChamp | 43c | 61.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x671c…7759backed FTS | 43c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed PuckChamp | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac31…9ac0backed PuckChamp | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed PuckChamp | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa108…573ebacked PuckChamp | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked FTS | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed FTS | 31c | 47.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…2d03backed PuckChamp | 68c | 47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8d47…0592backed PuckChamp | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed FTS | 52c | 36.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed FTS | 34c | 36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…23f2backed PuckChamp | 70c | 30.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked FTS | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed PuckChamp | 69c | 27.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked PuckChamp | 57c | 25.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2628…39cfbacked PuckChamp | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 177 | 63.8%113 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…cf69backed FTS | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked PuckChamp | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed PuckChamp | 68c | 21.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp - Game 1 WinnerFTS won
- Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp - Game 2 WinnerFTS won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.