TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIA Esportsof FURIA Esports, LOUD
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$207,586
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$222,871

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,586 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x18bb…e5cdbacked LOUD43c27,363$11,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,766.0831328.8%90 W · 223 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked FURIA Esports56c25,547$14,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,298.2496948.6%471 W · 498 L+12.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed LOUD42c20,404$8,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,587.311,63540.2%657 W · 978 L+48.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1d4…38d6backed LOUD0c11,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.112072.9%6 W · 201 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-75.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed FURIA Esports57c10,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3003661.1%22 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+33.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe0b1…a837backed FURIA Esports76c8,159$6,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,946.231428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-51.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked FURIA Esports59c7,235$4,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,980.882,01258.1%1,168 W · 844 L+84.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked LOUD48c6,934$3,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,323.131,26737.7%478 W · 789 L+35.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdac3…66d8backed FURIA Esports57c6,060$3,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,605.87153.5%38 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed FURIA Esports59c5,456$3,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,236.836541.9%153 W · 212 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked FURIA Esports56c5,263$2,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,329.761,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…07c0backed LOUD0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109016.7%15 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e24…4fabbacked FURIA Esports51c4,779$2,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,352.9334858%202 W · 146 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed LOUD35c4,762$1,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,665.111,14338.8%444 W · 699 L-46.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69b1…2687backed LOUD42c4,061$1,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,724.3230843.2%133 W · 175 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2391…554fbacked LOUD44c3,636$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60029843.3%129 W · 169 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b8…0935backed LOUD46c3,177$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4503828.9%11 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed LOUD14c3,137$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.4370641.5%293 W · 413 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed LOUD43c2,799$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20058457.7%337 W · 247 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked LOUD47c2,568$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.981,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdccd…f41abacked LOUD16c2,505$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40017839.3%70 W · 108 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed LOUD39c2,229$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.491,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed FURIA Esports61c2,187$1,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.5461154.7%334 W · 277 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked LOUD47c2,132$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.041,52254.7%832 W · 690 L+37.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ef…7d7bbacked FURIA Esports44c2,022$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.5569259.7%413 W · 279 L+75.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x191b…5b67backed LOUD42c2,003$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.177949.4%39 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb93…e1d3backed LOUD62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.9910546.7%49 W · 56 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked FURIA Esports53c1,854$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.8966845.5%304 W · 364 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c2f…d8c2backed FURIA Esports59c1,841$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.183348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked FURIA Esports59c1,748$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.7399756.6%564 W · 433 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56b9…79a2backed LOUD42c1,648$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.352532%8 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked FURIA Esports56c1,607$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.841,54062.6%964 W · 576 L+158.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked FURIA Esports58c1,603$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.4546258.4%270 W · 192 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed LOUD2c1,558$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.631,60817.5%282 W · 1,326 L-245.3wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x0c7b…6e9dbacked FURIA Esports78c1,537$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.9513354.1%72 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked LOUD34c1,500$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5151,22348.6%594 W · 629 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37ca…f644backed FURIA Esports59c1,356$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.9324858.1%144 W · 104 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed LOUD40c1,349$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.655554.5%30 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked FURIA Esports76c1,335$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.959658.2%347 W · 249 L-29.5wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed LOUD47c1,331$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.62,17853.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L+61.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed FURIA Esports59c1,186$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.441,22358.1%710 W · 513 L+43.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed FURIA Esports51c1,108$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.21,96548.4%951 W · 1,014 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed FURIA Esports58c1,002$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.8465047.4%308 W · 342 L+24.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed LOUD43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4301,80251.2%923 W · 879 L+53.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked LOUD27c999.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9584360.7%512 W · 331 L+44.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fb8…5a88backed FURIA Esports29c949$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.7935654.8%195 W · 161 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b6…f6ffbacked LOUD42c892.58$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.881752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked FURIA Esports44c881.3$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.21,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed LOUD33c876.87$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.691,42838.4%548 W · 880 L-42.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a01…bc5ebacked LOUD30c801.7$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.5136458.8%214 W · 150 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa844…83b8backed LOUD65c745.28$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.7262158.8%365 W · 256 L+32.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked LOUD32c709.23$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.122,02030.5%617 W · 1,403 L-172.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked LOUD59c677.34$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.491,67559.3%993 W · 682 L+96.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed LOUD47c639.6$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.6149947.1%235 W · 264 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x515d…0340backed FURIA Esports47c638.08$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.4835758.5%209 W · 148 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8458…52bfbacked FURIA Esports59c600$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2466845.6%31 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x253e…84e4backed FURIA Esports58c599.99$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25423047%108 W · 122 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe410…d4d1backed LOUD29c570.42$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.4215751.6%81 W · 76 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e8e…f9b2backed FURIA Esports58c551.72$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.7240446%186 W · 218 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x823d…f85bbacked FURIA Esports71c550.8$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.7212254.1%66 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed LOUD31c545$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.42,23733.3%745 W · 1,492 L-71.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc14…1d66backed FURIA Esports37c544.67$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.144736.2%17 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked FURIA Esports55c532.04$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.711,93942.2%819 W · 1,120 L-46.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked LOUD42c520.61$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.4588544.3%392 W · 493 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked FURIA Esports48c518.82$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.0597744.8%438 W · 539 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a28…ff8cbacked FURIA Esports59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.4712447.6%59 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9473…cba4backed FURIA Esports64c503.96$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.955045.3%249 W · 301 L-0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb46…ed08backed LOUD23c499.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11532736.7%120 W · 207 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bd7…8553backed FURIA Esports59c499.53$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.8170757%403 W · 304 L+35.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked LOUD51c455$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.8187443.1%377 W · 497 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed FURIA Esports49c437.4$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.461,08546.2%501 W · 584 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed LOUD55c436.01$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.891,57155.1%866 W · 705 L+80.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed LOUD44c405$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.246339.5%183 W · 280 L-37.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf2ae…3ca3backed FURIA Esports57c400.99$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.4331650.3%159 W · 157 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked FURIA Esports47c389$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.6588949.6%441 W · 448 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked FURIA Esports47c369$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.621,09147.4%517 W · 574 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb55…51ddbacked LOUD5c335.8$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4312557.6%72 W · 53 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed FURIA Esports60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3312747.2%60 W · 67 L-11.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed FURIA Esports47c317.61$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.2680750.8%410 W · 397 L+48.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa69…3594backed LOUD59c306.33$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1804050%20 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf529…755fbacked LOUD55c303$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.6524238%92 W · 150 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed LOUD47c299.26$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14052741.2%217 W · 310 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eec…e587backed FURIA Esports59c296.61$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.614656.5%26 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed LOUD44c295.45$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13081333%268 W · 545 L-43.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bf7…0fb8backed LOUD52c287.21$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15014148.9%69 W · 72 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x18b7…fff9backed LOUD7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2056610.4%59 W · 507 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+56.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked LOUD46c278.33$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.031,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked LOUD47c264$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.0811657.8%67 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27c…79e0backed FURIA Esports59c261.61$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.2639663.4%251 W · 145 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked FURIA Esports43c258$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1481,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb1…d11ebacked LOUD55c254.55$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14016540.6%67 W · 98 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed LOUD63c250$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.51,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf8…1dcebacked LOUD27c249.88$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6813434.3%46 W · 88 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71e7…1082backed FURIA Esports31c245$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.052152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf2…dfa9backed LOUD31c241.94$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7530453.3%162 W · 142 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dee…30b1backed FURIA Esports59c237.29$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.2921261.3%130 W · 82 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked LOUD31c229.75$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.361,47643.6%643 W · 833 L-31.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed FURIA Esports44c228.92$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.242,54039.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L-79.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14b7…aab1backed LOUD44c228.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019345.6%88 W · 105 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked LOUD41c226.1$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.735642.4%151 W · 205 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.