Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x204e9f38f0abc65d2a4fb2cb6c14406992541d52e6f614aad449be11e6ef797a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIA Esportsof FURIA Esports, LOUD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc69b…2076backed LOUD | 51c | 2,516$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.43 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed FURIA Esports | 49c | 2,000$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.07 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked LOUD | 70c | 1,241$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.98 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…5478backed FURIA Esports | 30c | 769.56$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.69 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed LOUD | 69c | 538.02$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.38 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed FURIA Esports | 49c | 497.16$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.55 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b6…f6ffbacked LOUD | 68c | 363$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.84 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked FURIA Esports | 32c | 352.68$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.86 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed LOUD | 58c | 269.53$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.33 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed FURIA Esports | 31c | 268.12$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked FURIA Esports | 30c | 240$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed FURIA Esports | 32c | 160$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed FURIA Esports | 43c | 113.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.44 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked LOUD | 67c | 95.15$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked FURIA Esports | 32c | 77.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 447 | 45.2%202 W · 245 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed FURIA Esports | 49c | 65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed FURIA Esports | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 183 | 42.1%77 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…514fbacked FURIA Esports | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed FURIA Esports | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed FURIA Esports | 30c | 49.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed FURIA Esports | 29c | 48.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed LOUD | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 149 | 60.4%90 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…a74cbacked LOUD | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 175 | 52.6%92 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd691…fcc6backed FURIA Esports | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed FURIA Esports | 33c | 30.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…65f2backed LOUD | 70c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed LOUD | 59c | 27.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76a…47c0backed FURIA Esports | 55c | 25.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 287 | 56.1%161 W · 126 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed LOUD | 71c | 15.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed LOUD | 71c | 14.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed LOUD | 71c | 14.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonFURIA Esports won
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD - Game 1 WinnerFURIA Esports won
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD - Game 2 WinnerFURIA Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.