TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,053,262
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$931,985

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,053,262 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 388 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6880…cf03backed Yes14c51,786$7,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,2506048.3%29 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+30.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes0c49,996$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.991468.2%12 W · 134 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+90.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5468…f311backed Yes0c49,500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5110%0 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes13c31,193$4,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,055.121,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes3c25,177$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.924,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f64…7a6dbacked Yes15c22,222$3,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,333.27825%2 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+76.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes14c18,310$2,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,563.470244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe462…1a2abacked Yes9c17,729$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5307133.8%24 W · 47 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Yes4c15,886$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.7314727.2%40 W · 107 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes10c12,405$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.18,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes6c10,592$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.7279231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf045…c619backed Yes0c10,250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x685c…b626backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107815.4%12 W · 66 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-20%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4eb…1a6ebacked Yes4c10,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3504323.3%10 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes7c8,223$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.358926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed Yes13c7,692$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes4c6,343$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.91705.9%10 W · 160 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…e6febacked Yes1c6,086$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011526.1%30 W · 85 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41d0…c04ebacked Yes14c6,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84040%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes5c5,019$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.7531945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d1d…eb2ebacked Yes3c5,000$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.7914542.8%62 W · 83 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes4c5,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21052522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18da…f8f0backed Yes4c4,872$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.77850%4 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+88.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Yes3c4,809$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.7819332.1%62 W · 131 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5964…776bbacked Yes14c4,643$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6509443.6%41 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f80…f911backed Yes2c4,255$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003040%12 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes7c4,016$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x372b…cbf5backed Yes14c4,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-72.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a25…b124backed Yes14c3,571$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005018%9 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30e4…5393backed Yes15c3,485$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.751926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x851a…6b12backed Yes7c3,393$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509631.3%30 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Yes3c3,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002412.5%3 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-56.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0ba…fa03backed Yes15c3,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002931%9 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fab…dfd8backed Yes3c3,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick15cpaid-48%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8135…24fdbacked Yes4c3,322$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.817346.6%34 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes3c3,271$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.774,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes1c3,203$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1736939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x597b…a872backed Yes9c3,100$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2907139.4%28 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf094…5290backed Yes1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30434.7%2 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick3cpaid+136.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bea…a4a9backed Yes15c2,590$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.315335.3%54 W · 99 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe99…a1e1backed Yes5c2,519$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13513721.9%30 W · 107 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Yes14c2,500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3506524.6%16 W · 49 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes1c2,399$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.132,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5f…6b9cbacked Yes14c2,379$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3335422.2%12 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked Yes10c2,325$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22517527.4%48 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc330…e776backed Yes4c2,273$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016732.3%54 W · 113 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b4…994fbacked Yes5c2,216$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08af…bb75backed Yes7c2,164$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1482330.4%7 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick20cpaid-7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.031,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015930.8%49 W · 110 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fba…92e7backed Yes1c2,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104526.7%12 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes7c2,000$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13214132.6%46 W · 95 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Yes13c2,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.999819.4%19 W · 79 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+146.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1987…e630backed Yes2c1,976$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412030%6 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick16cpaid+103.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Yes13c1,958$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.5633549%164 W · 171 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Yes3c1,888$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028224.1%68 W · 214 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbda1…827fbacked Yes14c1,786$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503721.6%8 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x55a8…7245backed Yes15c1,722$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.298725.3%22 W · 65 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8733…5460backed Yes1c1,715$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.65849.5%8 W · 76 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes5c1,703$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0133337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9e7…af6bbacked Yes13c1,700$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2219025.6%23 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes12c1,606$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.4455045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1137…2474backed Yes8c1,518$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12140%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes3c1,500$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4218510.8%20 W · 165 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Yes14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dbb…352fbacked Yes14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016441.5%68 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fce…a7c8backed Yes14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007032.9%23 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9187…11c2backed Yes14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004422.7%10 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd99c…2efdbacked Yes14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015312.4%19 W · 134 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-34%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8339…fd49backed Yes14c1,397$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.6128533%94 W · 191 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Yes14c1,393$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.9643139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce60…f989backed Yes7c1,387$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001833.3%6 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+57.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x640b…d920backed Yes2c1,344$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3419027.9%53 W · 137 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb105…2e0dbacked Yes3c1,312$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcd9…e34cbacked Yes14c1,250$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17511844.1%52 W · 66 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes4c1,244$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.961,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5754…cefbbacked Yes5c1,219$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4629341%120 W · 173 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes5c1,146$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7225719.1%49 W · 208 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-51.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes4c1,125$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3236634.4%126 W · 240 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2bf…f980backed Yes3c1,122$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2211538.3%44 W · 71 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-37.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f4a…1ae0backed Yes2c1,100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.64020%8 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-66.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd5f…c8fdbacked Yes4c1,057$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4060%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0e…0b82backed Yes13c1,035$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.5513542.2%57 W · 78 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x801d…d8e0backed Yes13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1305930.5%18 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70e9…836abacked Yes3c1,000$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299541.1%39 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+30.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f25…21a4backed Yes14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14014738.1%56 W · 91 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3878…1ab8backed Yes13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304833.3%16 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae00…f8f4backed Yes14c999.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1407545.3%34 W · 41 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb28…3694backed Yes14c999.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14017950.3%90 W · 89 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ea0…68b1backed Yes14c999.93$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.998425%21 W · 63 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-49.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2468…cad2backed Yes3c961.54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515735%55 W · 102 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Yes13c960$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.86423.4%15 W · 49 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac52…1b0bbacked Yes4c954.62$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.072619.2%5 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-68.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4176…a875backed Yes16c937.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503625%9 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8448…964cbacked Yes4c935.34$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe37d…bbe8backed Yes2c841.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36e7…f307backed Yes4c839.89$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377432.4%24 W · 50 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2070…ed53backed Yes7c839.16$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604429.5%13 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-17.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x91e8…24f8backed Yes6c836.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503813.2%5 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-78.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes4c831.36$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.082,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.