TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Liverpool FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,074
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,448

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,074 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under66c10,000$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,599.8413151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over37c9,905$3,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,261.661,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over34c4,440$1,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,925.7843427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over36c3,325$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,134.5659741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over50c3,035$1,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,517.693839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Under58c2,606$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,511.392268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under66c2,171$1,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,432.6410748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under66c2,082$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,373.8212249.2%60 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over34c1,869$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.6739746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a43…565fbacked Over50c1,797$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.411353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Under60c1,668$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over49c1,447$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.436852.9%36 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over51c1,256$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.182748.1%13 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c982.61$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.2146048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under30c840.9$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.7738343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under66c799.96$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.9814447.2%68 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75dd…171dbacked Over64c617.7$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.32185.7%18 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick75cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0666…d31abacked Over49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.242161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+60.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over34c588.22$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.238150.6%41 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over34c500.73$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.3938253.9%206 W · 176 L+21.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under67c499.98$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.999445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over40c487.66$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.61,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31fb…edf2backed Under52c476.97$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+24.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Over42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.193132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under66c449.99$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.9916753.3%89 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under66c449.98$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.9921354%115 W · 98 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under66c433.84$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.3338356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Over34c420.24$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.134740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under66c400$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26415657.1%89 W · 67 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under66c399.99$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.9944955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Under51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013234.1%45 W · 87 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under66c365.29$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.4723947.7%114 W · 125 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under66c360$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.617855.6%99 W · 79 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under66c349.96$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.9717251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Over34c347.48$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.38955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Over30c332.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.099540%38 W · 57 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Over34c322.33$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.3310431.7%33 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under71c313.41$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.217946.8%37 W · 42 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under66c300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19812748%61 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Under58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1743339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under66c299.99$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19828357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under66c299.97$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.9811152.3%58 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under66c299.96$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.9713552.6%71 W · 64 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under66c279.96$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.7813453.7%72 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over34c261.35$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.8313246.2%61 W · 71 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54fe…5850backed Over41c250$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.51656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+41.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under66c249.97$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9846956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under48c224.58$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.233455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over46c210.19$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.4342438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under66c199.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.998454.8%46 W · 38 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under66c199.97$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9818754.5%102 W · 85 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6250…8707backed Under51c194.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under66c189.97$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.3813252.3%69 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under66c179.97$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.7810650.9%54 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under66c170$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.213352.6%70 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under66c169.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.1914352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under66c169.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.1911449.1%56 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under66c169.98$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.1911548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under66c169.98$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.1916251.2%83 W · 79 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under66c169.98$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.1910949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under66c166.98$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2113751.8%71 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under66c159.98$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5915651.3%80 W · 76 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under66c149.98$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9918350.3%92 W · 91 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under66c149.98$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9914247.2%67 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under66c139.34$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9713548.9%66 W · 69 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00dc…d521backed Under58c131$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.98450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under66c120$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.212652.4%66 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under66c119.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1911747%55 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under66c119.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1910753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under66c119.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1911648.3%56 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under66c119.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1911850%59 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under66c119.98$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1911650.9%59 W · 57 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under66c119.98$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1811350.4%57 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x309d…4287backed Over39c119.89$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.43250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfa6…4eb6backed Over42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.052147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under36c112.77$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3339743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under54c110.01$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6810648.1%51 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24fc…2d72backed Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa237…d59abacked Under63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632958.6%17 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Over40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9372…3b1abacked Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under66c99.98$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9911947.1%56 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under66c99.98$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.997448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a5…9445backed Under51c99.7$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.853844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b9…3762backed Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26c7…f14ebacked Under53c94.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over31c89$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4120947.8%100 W · 109 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over49c88.55$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3511653.4%62 W · 54 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under59c85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1522547.6%107 W · 118 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Under59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503348.5%16 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick62cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under65c84.11$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.678751.7%45 W · 42 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under66c80$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.811652.6%61 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Under66c80$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.88850%44 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over37c76.7$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0765050.2%326 W · 324 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Under59c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.31861.1%11 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under66c69.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1913853.6%74 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf9a…336bbacked Under60c66.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1110…0123backed Over51c65.73$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.211457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under40c64.63$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9620042.5%85 W · 115 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under66c60$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.611952.1%62 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.