Champions League · resolved market
Liverpool FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68cd8d47171babda108c5debfb4347e5b7edcc2c560b2f4bb78b578e189ce905
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 76c | 11,309$8,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,712.85 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Over | 76c | 8,799$6,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,111.78 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 77c | 2,745$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.03 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 77c | 2,724$2,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.03 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 24c | 799.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Over | 78c | 618.16$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 18c | 546.71$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.91 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Under | 19c | 524.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 23c | 499.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.62 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 24c | 450$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 24c | 449.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 156 | 57.1%89 W · 67 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Under | 20c | 399.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 24c | 370.56$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.94 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 24c | 360$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 24c | 350$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 15c | 339.48$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 76c | 338.22$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.17 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 24c | 265$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under | 25c | 204.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 187 | 54.5%102 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 24c | 190$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 24c | 180$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 24c | 170$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 24c | 170$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 24c | 170$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 24c | 170$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 24c | 170$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 24c | 170$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 24c | 170$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 24c | 169.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 76c | 163.79$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 24c | 160$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 14c | 152.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Over | 78c | 151.84$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2705…9096backed Under | 16c | 139.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 24c | 124.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 24c | 111.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4753…6696backed Under | 18c | 110.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2e…44c3backed Under | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Under | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 138 | 53.6%74 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Under | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Under | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Under | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Under | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Under | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Under | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Over | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 77c | 48.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Under | 24c | 43.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 76c | 23.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 76c | 20.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 76c | 13.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liverpool FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 2.5this page
- Liverpool FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Liverpool FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liverpool FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Liverpool FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.