TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Liverpool FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,776
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,272

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,776 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over56c11,816$6,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,155.771,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,599.8713151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over54c4,213$2,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,937.962552%13 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb48f…d015backed Over54c3,844$2,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,768.44475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under34c2,459$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8364351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under46c2,248$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.9510748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under46c2,099$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.6312249.2%60 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over62c1,809$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.930657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under31c1,500$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46524327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over57c1,208$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.9359741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over54c1,110$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.616144.1%71 W · 90 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Over54c953.7$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.71369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+53.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe860…cdaabacked Over69c927.93$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.654639.1%18 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Over54c912.96$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.963050%15 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under46c800$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36814447.2%68 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under47c602.76$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.339746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under47c499.98$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.999445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under46c454.51$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.1638356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under46c450$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20716753.3%89 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under46c422.62$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.4121354%115 W · 98 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Over65c417.48$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.72955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18444955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18415657.1%89 W · 67 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under44c378.45$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.8723947.7%114 W · 125 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over51c369.54$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.325745.6%26 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under46c360$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.617855.6%99 W · 79 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under46c349.98$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.9917251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Over62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.582458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13812748%61 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13828357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13813552.6%71 W · 64 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb0…cfdabacked Over62c283.8$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.23425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-59.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under46c280$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.813453.7%72 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over54c275.42$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.681,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under19c270.54$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.839743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under46c249.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11546956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b9c…2a84backed Under42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9238253.9%206 W · 176 L+21.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9218754.5%102 W · 85 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54fe…5850backed Over70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+41.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over51c197.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.855646.4%26 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under46c190$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.413252.3%69 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under46c180$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.810650.9%54 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under46c170$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.213352.6%70 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under46c170$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.214352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under46c170$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.210949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under46c170$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.213548.9%66 W · 69 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under46c170$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.213751.8%71 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under46c170$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.211449.1%56 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under46c170$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.216251.2%83 W · 79 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under46c162.59$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7911548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under46c159.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.615651.3%80 W · 76 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6918350.3%92 W · 91 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6914247.2%67 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under47c130.11$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.155543.6%24 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.210753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.211648.3%56 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.212652.4%66 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.211350.4%57 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.211850%59 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Under50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under46c119.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.211747%55 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over54c104.54$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0913246.2%61 W · 71 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x271a…218cbacked Over54c102.24$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.033100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.53560%21 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468751.7%45 W · 42 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2e…44c3backed Under41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under46c99.97$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9811947.1%56 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over54c97.85$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0642438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under49c93$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1138043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under46c82.62$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.055459.3%32 W · 22 L+8.1wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+36.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under46c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.811652.6%61 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Under46c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.88850%44 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1565050.2%326 W · 324 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Over54c72.26$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.384740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under46c70$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.213853.6%74 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x309d…4287backed Over54c61.73$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.43250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.611548.7%56 W · 59 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.613248.5%64 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.611952.1%62 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.611949.6%59 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.612149.6%60 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.611449.1%56 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.611452.6%60 W · 54 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.615153%80 W · 71 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.612249.2%60 W · 62 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.611452.6%60 W · 54 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.613151.1%67 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb0…466fbacked Over54c56.58$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.031040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Over61c50.37$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.63256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98ff…41cfbacked Under40c50.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under37c48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7629350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over58c47.74$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.265364.2%34 W · 19 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+28.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4979…f792backed Over62c45.94$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under33c44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4110648.1%51 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c43.23$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7546048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd485…871fbacked Over54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.41872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe27d…0c33backed Over63c39.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0401…e908backed Under39c39.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.