UFC · resolved market
UFC 324: Hokit vs. Freeman (Heavyweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafefe4da68879ed042113b1851120a6583303306734a793d7d6bd336d70263f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hokitof Hokit, Freeman
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $242,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $269,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $242,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Freeman | 19c | 34,800$6,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,735.82 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Hokit | 70c | 29,349$20,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,912.34 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Freeman | 30c | 17,657$5,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,264.5 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Hokit | 70c | 17,143$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,142.86 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Freeman | 30c | 15,638$4,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,691.29 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Hokit | 71c | 11,706$8,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,405.72 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Hokit | 70c | 11,327$7,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,402.2 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Freeman | 29c | 11,284$3,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,320.45 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Hokit | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef38…ae8cbacked Freeman | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.98 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Freeman | 29c | 9,999$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.83 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Hokit | 72c | 9,995$7,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,798.58 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Hokit | 70c | 7,500$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Hokit | 70c | 6,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.99 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Freeman | 28c | 5,998$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.44 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Freeman | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Freeman | 29c | 4,558$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.82 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfccb…8129backed Hokit | 67c | 4,130$2,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4028…b370backed Hokit | 68c | 4,000$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9e…c81abacked Freeman | 36c | 3,858$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…2af1backed Hokit | 64c | 3,800$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…3174backed Freeman | 33c | 3,700$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c28…fb64backed Hokit | 67c | 3,700$2,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c61…c3c9backed Freeman | 30c | 3,555$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Freeman | 31c | 3,348$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.66 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Hokit | 69c | 3,078$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.15 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hokit | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Hokit | 75c | 2,892$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.15 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Freeman | 28c | 2,424$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.98 | 92 | 28.3%26 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Freeman | 32c | 2,352$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.68 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Hokit | 70c | 2,300$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.99 | 178 | 51.7%92 W · 86 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…5240backed Freeman | 31c | 1,935$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Hokit | 68c | 1,634$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.82 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb925…0f4abacked Freeman | 6c | 1,602$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Hokit | 73c | 1,575$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.18 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…5c8dbacked Hokit | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Freeman | 30c | 1,400$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.36 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Freeman | 28c | 1,395$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.6 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abf…6024backed Hokit | 71c | 1,350$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.5 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Freeman | 31c | 1,148$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Freeman | 30c | 1,123$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.9 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Freeman | 29c | 1,100$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…a1f1backed Freeman | 30c | 1,085$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Hokit | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Freeman | 28c | 870.43$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Freeman | 25c | 843$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.78 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Hokit | 70c | 777.14$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.14 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…b6c9backed Freeman | 30c | 688$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.12 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Hokit | 70c | 648.25$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.51 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Freeman | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Freeman | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…6f5ebacked Freeman | 30c | 572.39$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.99 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…0a6abacked Hokit | 70c | 549.6$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Hokit | 78c | 515.85$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.85 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Freeman | 30c | 502$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.6 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea93…d9bdbacked Hokit | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Freeman | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Freeman | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Freeman | 32c | 499.83$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.95 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…114cbacked Hokit | 73c | 493.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.35 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Hokit | 70c | 449$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.76 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6481…b1bfbacked Hokit | 71c | 423.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.54 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Hokit | 72c | 393$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.35 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Freeman | 30c | 388.11$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.43 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb045…d4cebacked Hokit | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Hokit | 69c | 337.64$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Freeman | 29c | 336.83$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.79 | 242 | 56.2%136 W · 106 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Freeman | 30c | 333.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d43…743bbacked Freeman | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Hokit | 71c | 315.5$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.65 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…77b1backed Hokit | 69c | 304.91$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.91 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Hokit | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Freeman | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 367 | 55.3%203 W · 164 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Freeman | 23c | 295.48$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.29 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Freeman | 30c | 294.75$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.51 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Hokit | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Hokit | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…0cd8backed Hokit | 71c | 249.44$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.34 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Freeman | 30c | 246.26$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.23 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…3c23backed Hokit | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b4…e428backed Freeman | 31c | 207.58$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…f50fbacked Freeman | 33c | 202.49$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.85 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Freeman | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Hokit | 70c | 197.17$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x343d…cd2ebacked Freeman | 32c | 196.85$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.65 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…f1c9backed Hokit | 78c | 171.8$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ab…f7f9backed Freeman | 31c | 167$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Freeman | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Freeman | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…78b5backed Hokit | 67c | 149.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…802abacked Freeman | 31c | 148.16$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38e…0b87backed Freeman | 31c | 146.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed Freeman | 31c | 145.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…e4f6backed Hokit | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880e…54edbacked Hokit | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Hokit | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…1ed0backed Hokit | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…98aebacked Hokit | 71c | 140.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 265 | 69.4%184 W · 81 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Hokit | 70c | 138.57$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.57 | 132 | 67.4%89 W · 43 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Freeman | 33c | 137.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 324: Hokit vs. Freeman (Heavyweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.