Australian A League · resolved market
Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa27859ada22eedd5d9269ee656f40951e010550a304f972268f08a6011aa73a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Under | 58c | 1,710$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.1 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e7…b1a4backed Over | 57c | 1,582$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 61c | 1,150$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 43c | 1,135$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.79 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 39c | 995.11$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.93 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa083…19c9backed Under | 62c | 789$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 59c | 508.66$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 46c | 379.89$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.69 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Over | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 55c | 370.74$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.52 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 335.17$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.78 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 59c | 288.14$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 34c | 249.31$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.54 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 70c | 230$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.8 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 48c | 216.6$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.97 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 55c | 204.58$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.1 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 52c | 191.27$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.07 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 50c | 191$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.75 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 41c | 184.02$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e46…ae6dbacked Over | 59c | 166.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24fc…2d72backed Over | 62c | 165$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 141.34$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.46 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 60c | 139.93$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.79 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 35c | 129.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 38c | 129.34$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.19 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Under | 36c | 126.56$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.41 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…d943backed Under | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d04…60aabacked Over | 62c | 120.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 40c | 119.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Over | 60c | 108.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 90 | 65.6%59 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Under | 42c | 107.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.76 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a9…565cbacked Over | 53c | 103.59$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 52c | 93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 55c | 91.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Under | 40c | 85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 37c | 81.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 42c | 56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6781…2ff5backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Under | 47c | 44.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 50c | 43.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 48c | 39.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b0…b854backed Under | 53c | 28.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…6bc8backed Over | 62c | 24.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 62c | 21.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Over | 50c | 20.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…1094backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.