Australian A League · resolved market
Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x718f4d87293a307ccc0f74ed31018f87ab9b5a3c5222a3198ed010691beec599
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 188.68$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.14 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Yes | 58c | 182.97$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.57 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 46c | 141.3$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 34c | 125.29$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.84 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…d943backed No | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Yes | 53c | 86.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked No | 47c | 86.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 44c | 77.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 76c | 55.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Yes | 80c | 46.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 56c | 39.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 74c | 34.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…d0f5backed No | 46c | 34.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Yes | 58c | 28.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 62c | 28.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 57c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Yes | 55c | 19.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.