Other European Leagues · resolved market
Göztepe SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7933de8ae022505d33b4eaa44429a88027353e184c57640064d28c6fd06b08fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 48c | 18,357$8,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,547.51 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 52c | 14,640$7,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,566.46 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 6,721$3,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,513.04 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 48c | 5,999$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.47 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 48c | 5,210$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,709.44 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 52c | 1,302$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.25 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 52c | 1,282$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.53 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Under | 52c | 903.85$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 52c | 754.96$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.26 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 31c | 290.05$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.15 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de1…35f3backed Over | 49c | 262.86$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 52c | 208.33$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.33 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…ee81backed Over | 49c | 182.47$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…a34cbacked Over | 69c | 154.27$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.82 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb49a…b482backed Over | 47c | 137.6$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Under | 51c | 129.59$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 121.59$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.85 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dc…4e57backed Over | 49c | 90.71$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a1…7066backed Over | 49c | 89.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Over | 46c | 88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 58c | 68.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…a497backed Under | 52c | 66.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Under | 54c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 52c | 30.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 50cpaid | +62%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed Under | 54c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 52c | 26.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 23.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…150dbacked Over | 49c | 21.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Göztepe SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 2.5this page
- Göztepe SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Göztepe SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.