TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-02-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$197,597
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$193,104

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,597 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed No67c63,531$42,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,980.375352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed No69c53,279$36,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,540.077753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes32c37,305$11,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,766.242,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes33c32,659$10,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,667.672,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes27c24,244$6,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,663.116,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes30c15,025$4,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,495.044,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes31c13,088$4,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,104.0385048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No68c12,650$8,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,049.1716651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes33c11,000$3,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,629.9220545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No67c9,200$6,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,035.9913444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Yes32c8,689$2,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,780.571346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes28c7,514$2,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,141.072,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No67c5,908$3,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,922.3219253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Yes33c5,022$1,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,657.221049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No68c5,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60014258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Yes33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6503360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No68c5,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.986240.3%25 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes33c4,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3207251.4%37 W · 35 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.9918362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes31c2,500$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7821,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Yes2c1,071$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.12825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-45.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes31c800$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24839948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes34c799.91$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.81,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Yes32c781.22$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.995752.6%30 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes32c742.95$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.6413939.6%55 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb207…c751backed No69c730$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.3450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed No69c725.84$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.0110751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Yes25c648$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1624946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Yes33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Yes31c599.93$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.9813641.9%57 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes33c579.6$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.2711232.1%36 W · 76 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes32c566$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.8784549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes32c512.16$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.898943.8%39 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f51…41edbacked Yes14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No68c400$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12830149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Yes33c361.61$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.339556.8%54 W · 41 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Yes32c350$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11251847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes32c350$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes21c322.11$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4242324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes32c319.8$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10239052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes32c309.38$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9911534.8%40 W · 75 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No67c309.26$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.861,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007851.3%40 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10246651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed No68c299.99$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969749.5%48 W · 49 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes28c297.14$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3853344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75cd…61a6backed No69c287.07$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.013243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes33c265$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.451,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes12c260$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.23125.8%8 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes32c257$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2472249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Yes33c250$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.511850%59 W · 59 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked No69c204.64$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.595255.8%29 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27a3…285dbacked Yes33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+71.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e52…9078backed Yes33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No65c199.98$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9929158.4%170 W · 121 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes34c181.76$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.81,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes33c164$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.121,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…649cbacked No69c153.62$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.621540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507450%37 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0674…2034backed No69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.93366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-7.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed No69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.938056.3%45 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes23c143.48$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3318124.9%45 W · 136 L-0.8wins0.00per pick25cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc525…daf0backed No68c139.99$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked No69c137.48$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.625356.6%30 W · 23 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Yes15c133.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed No68c129$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.284557.8%26 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.211,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a89…196fbacked Yes33c121.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-30%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No77c108.98$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.71,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes29c103.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028531.2%89 W · 196 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91b5…4a34backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.51163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b2…5f43backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102035%7 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c38…fd63backed No68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322080%16 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed No67c91.75$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.126144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed No67c90$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.77440.5%30 W · 44 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Yes31c81.93$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.49053.3%48 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes32c81.25$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2624349%119 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Yes32c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257958.2%46 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes31c76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6433753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd56d…5c46backed No67c74.6$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.62450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb48c…ab11backed Yes19c69.05$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed No68c64$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.483969.2%27 W · 12 L+6.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+31.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No74c62.71$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2510338.8%40 W · 63 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xca53…195fbacked Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206261.3%38 W · 24 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028950.9%147 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f3d…fea8backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202532%8 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-41.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc29e…bc77backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-57.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No72c62$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3145142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202665.4%17 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+42.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed Yes32c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.29940.4%40 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes32c59.66$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0916346.6%76 W · 87 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes31c53.47$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.85733.3%19 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3a6…9144backed No69c50.41$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed No67c48.74$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.856456.3%36 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x558c…d8ffbacked Yes32c47.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.991258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6a1…7066backed No68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.121136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d11…0c08backed Yes34c43.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.93145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b0f…e949backed Yes33c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.21963.2%12 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+62.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.46137.7%23 W · 38 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.