Premier League · resolved market
Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd06932d54d053360bb53dfff7ed0300612fcd5adf7cefd28d32e0a72dd146159
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 14c | 2,161$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.68 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…491fbacked No | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…9d24backed Yes | 74c | 1,077$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.73 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 69c | 887.74$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.54 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 860.54$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.74 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 780.6$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.61 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Yes | 78c | 643.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.89 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 31c | 579.6$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.92 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 69c | 568$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.92 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 15c | 546.52$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 39c | 524.9$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.6 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 68c | 404.74$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.22 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 31c | 400$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed Yes | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 31c | 320$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.8 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 32c | 319.39$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.19 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…e817backed No | 13c | 145.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…2034backed Yes | 76c | 131.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked No | 33c | 127.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Yes | 59c | 125.12$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.35 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 68c | 109.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.05 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 66c | 95$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Yes | 31c | 87.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 37c | 77.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 32c | 70$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked No | 29c | 63.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…471fbacked Yes | 65c | 61.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 31c | 59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked No | 22c | 49.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 39c | 46.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc12…05f2backed Yes | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…6809backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Yes | 39c | 31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Yes | 57c | 28.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc98…7667backed Yes | 75c | 22.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 71c | 22.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e0…8467backed Yes | 80c | 20.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…4293backed No | 69c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-02-06?No won
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-02-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.