Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-01-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0154b0f00b9b9054d1976093b94e88641771e162e1d3c5b1659aa126b85f98d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2472…8d9bbacked No | 36c | 1,380$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.74 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 30c | 1,202$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.07 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 5c | 1,138$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.91 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Yes | 58c | 1,056$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +132.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x154e…ed0cbacked Yes | 11c | 746$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 55c | 513.3$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.39 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…162abacked Yes | 11c | 491$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 29cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…f8a1backed Yes | 11c | 474$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 37cpaid | +435.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 10c | 399.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 64c | 381.51$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.54 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…08d2backed Yes | 11c | 374$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.86 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +318.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked Yes | 11c | 339$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +482.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 25c | 302.64$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.13 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked Yes | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4901…8832backed Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…b750backed Yes | 11c | 273$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 63c | 265.46$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.52 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 37c | 250$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…c9aebacked No | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed No | 72c | 180$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed No | 49c | 161$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.32 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed No | 72c | 121$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…ce5ebacked Yes | 45c | 110$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 19c | 105$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.44 | 69 | 71%49 W · 20 L | +10.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed No | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f0…ad99backed No | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed No | 72c | 98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 77c | 87.15$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.06 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed No | 72c | 84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed No | 72c | 79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 50c | 68.73$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +7.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed No | 72c | 66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 65c | 58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Yes | 28c | 53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 55cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Yes | 28c | 45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1e…2f5abacked No | 61c | 44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb8…233cbacked Yes | 39c | 44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed Yes | 80c | 42.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…20aabacked Yes | 50c | 40.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a1…7066backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…4426backed Yes | 35c | 39.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Yes | 28c | 38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Yes | 28c | 36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe792…80bcbacked Yes | 44c | 33.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…bfb5backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked No | 72c | 29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed No | 35c | 28.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed No | 72c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db1…d726backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32c7…11c7backed Yes | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed No | 72c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-01-09?this page
- Will NEC vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?No won
- Will NEC win on 2026-01-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.