La Liga · resolved market
Will Alaves win on 2025-11-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x928bfe6052118bdef68a329c7afc24d674dfe2743e4de5ac4c3703823c015065
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 12,837$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.6 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 6c | 9,937$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.17 | 140 | 67.1%94 W · 46 L | +17.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 3c | 4,368$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.56 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 7c | 3,408$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.04 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 1c | 3,030$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -56%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23b8…63acbacked Yes | 7c | 2,586$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Yes | 6c | 2,209$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.55 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 8c | 1,674$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.96 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36b…7804backed Yes | 5c | 1,527$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7a…d80abacked Yes | 12c | 1,353$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 7c | 1,286$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 4c | 1,149$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf816…7223backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…a73ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 7c | 820.26$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…28a5backed Yes | 6c | 402.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6efd…48a0backed Yes | 3c | 336.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 5c | 321.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 19c | 302.74$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.52 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0277…0677backed Yes | 4c | 280$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Yes | 9c | 275.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 8c | 205.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 6c | 167$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 196 | 46.4%91 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 6c | 167$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…e412backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alaves win on 2025-11-29?this page
- Will Barcelona vs. Alaves end in a draw?No won
- Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.