CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48ed8f1abb4688093f58c415b99a483f1cd9144078e9ada1ef68fbccbdd9291d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HOTUof Gentle Mates, HOTU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc14d…cbdbbacked Gentle Mates | 64c | 2,715$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Gentle Mates | 72c | 2,670$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.3 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed HOTU | 39c | 2,224$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.52 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed HOTU | 40c | 1,650$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.13 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked HOTU | 27c | 1,008$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.28 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Gentle Mates | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed HOTU | 19c | 851.87$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.79 | 157 | 43.3%68 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed HOTU | 42c | 693.97$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.5 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eca…9291backed Gentle Mates | 37c | 668.01$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.12 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked HOTU | 62c | 650.22$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.08 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed HOTU | 63c | 499.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed HOTU | 43c | 469.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.56 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Gentle Mates | 60c | 435$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.71 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed HOTU | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HOTU | 45c | 380$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Gentle Mates | 22c | 339.65$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.86 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Gentle Mates | 60c | 311.88$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.13 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Gentle Mates | 60c | 260$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Gentle Mates | 62c | 248.72$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 184 | 43.5%80 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…a27ebacked Gentle Mates | 64c | 211.66$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.46 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Gentle Mates | 27c | 200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed HOTU | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Gentle Mates | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a9…0544backed Gentle Mates | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec24…9544backed Gentle Mates | 62c | 163.65$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03df…1299backed Gentle Mates | 9c | 150$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Gentle Mates | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…7a59backed HOTU | 27c | 149.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.7 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed HOTU | 66c | 148.82$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked HOTU | 43c | 140$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.03 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked HOTU | 37c | 135.31$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.72 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa100…60e1backed HOTU | 68c | 135$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 137 | 37.2%51 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae65…70debacked Gentle Mates | 61c | 133.79$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.61 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…e55abacked HOTU | 26c | 129$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.46 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed Gentle Mates | 46c | 109.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b56…ca9fbacked HOTU | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc8…7f8ebacked HOTU | 62c | 100.42$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked HOTU | 68c | 95$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…8e04backed HOTU | 66c | 92.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Gentle Mates | 58c | 91.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4f…bdc8backed HOTU | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Gentle Mates | 27c | 65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…b410backed HOTU | 73c | 60.74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed HOTU | 20c | 60.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.9 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Gentle Mates | 35c | 52.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…f6debacked HOTU | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 157 | 70.1%110 W · 47 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…b5e4backed Gentle Mates | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…d949backed Gentle Mates | 72c | 42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…43abbacked Gentle Mates | 50c | 40.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 51.1%94 W · 90 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Gentle Mates | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…385dbacked HOTU | 78c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f42…5b96backed Gentle Mates | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 174 | 63.8%111 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed HOTU | 58c | 30.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfea5…4198backed Gentle Mates | 63c | 29.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0609…5aacbacked Gentle Mates | 61c | 26.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -11.7wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b9…63c6backed Gentle Mates | 60c | 25.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2541…319cbacked Gentle Mates | 61c | 24.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb36b…7804backed Gentle Mates | 67c | 19.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs HOTU - Map 1 WinnerHOTU won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs HOTU - Map 2 WinnerHOTU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.