La Liga · resolved market

Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2025-12-16?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a0856fab9090961ebf3d8804c8c4d2baee8742a6a831686103b8b5f81587a73

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 16, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $36,674
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $50,882

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,674 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in La Liga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Yes	39c	12,829$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,828.72	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No	61c	2,487$1,514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,513.6	1,798	51.4%924 W · 874 L	+6.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No	61c	1,998$1,219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,218.84	126	48.4%61 W · 65 L	-9.0wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No	61c	1,200$732 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$732	225	52.4%118 W · 107 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	65c	1,092$707 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$706.98	4,740	47%2,230 W · 2,510 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes	38c	1,047$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$646.63	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+14%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No	61c	600$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366	152	50%76 W · 76 L	-8.7wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No	61c	600$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366	350	54%189 W · 161 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked No	65c	469.62$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.81	95	49.5%47 W · 48 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	37c	439$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275.92	306	34.6%106 W · 200 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No	61c	420$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.2	317	51.1%162 W · 155 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No	45c	388.05$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.38	218	42.7%93 W · 125 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6da…7e3ebacked Yes	39c	381.32$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231.32	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-3.7wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb36b…7804backed Yes	38c	374.73$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231.04	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No	61c	360$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.6	276	52.5%145 W · 131 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked No	70c	280$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196	74	47.3%35 W · 39 L	-6.4wins	-0.09per pick	56cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed No	65c	261.54$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No	61c	240$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.4	432	55.6%240 W · 192 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No	61c	240$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.4	218	49.1%107 W · 111 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No	61c	240$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.4	142	44.4%63 W · 79 L	-12.6wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No	61c	210$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.1	176	48.3%85 W · 91 L	-6.4wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No	61c	210$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.1	290	53.4%155 W · 135 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Yes	38c	199.05$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.05	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed No	62c	183.06$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.5	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	+5.9wins	+0.16per pick	27cpaid	+88.4%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No	61c	180$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.8	290	53.4%155 W · 135 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No	61c	180$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.8	181	52.5%95 W · 86 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ccf…b312backed Yes	40c	175.4$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.4	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c13…a136backed Yes	41c	165.07$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.39	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.22per pick	62cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51a7…30abbacked No	66c	151.52$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed No	76c	131.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	50	52%26 W · 24 L	-8.1wins	-0.16per pick	68cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x693c…a7edbacked Yes	38c	131.51$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.51	68	45.6%31 W · 37 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No	61c	128.51$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.31	199	51.8%103 W · 96 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No	61c	120$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.2	92	47.8%44 W · 48 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No	61c	120$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.2	206	52.9%109 W · 97 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No	61c	120$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.2	197	50.3%99 W · 98 L	-5.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No	61c	120$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.2	114	48.2%55 W · 59 L	-5.3wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No	61c	120$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.2	99	45.5%45 W · 54 L	-7.7wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No	61c	120$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.2	202	50.5%102 W · 100 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No	60c	120$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	196	52%102 W · 94 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No	61c	120$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.2	161	51.6%83 W · 78 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No	61c	120$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.2	113	46.9%53 W · 60 L	-6.9wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No	61c	120$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.2	149	50.3%75 W · 74 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No	61c	120$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.2	209	49.8%104 W · 105 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed No	61c	120$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.2	185	51.9%96 W · 89 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked No	68c	110.29$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	14c	103.21$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.45	3,449	43%1,484 W · 1,965 L	+32.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Yes	38c	100$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62	41	36.6%15 W · 26 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5bb…39f3backed Yes	39c	100$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+37.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No	66c	91.74$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.29	252	48.4%122 W · 130 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No	63c	79.99$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.39	255	51.4%131 W · 124 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked No	16c	79.27$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.68	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+2.1wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes	29c	65.67$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.63	226	38.5%87 W · 139 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes	71c	63.26$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.21	791	33%261 W · 530 L	-8.9wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked No	61c	60$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.6	193	52.3%101 W · 92 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No	61c	60$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.6	210	51.9%109 W · 101 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed No	61c	60$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.6	191	52.4%100 W · 91 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed No	61c	60$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.6	200	54.5%109 W · 91 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked No	61c	60$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.6	191	53.4%102 W · 89 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked No	61c	60$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.6	195	53.3%104 W · 91 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked No	61c	60$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.6	102	47.1%48 W · 54 L	-7.4wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked No	61c	60$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.6	188	53.2%100 W · 88 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked No	61c	60$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.6	191	55%105 W · 86 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed No	61c	60$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.6	211	51.7%109 W · 102 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed No	61c	60$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.6	188	52.7%99 W · 89 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed No	61c	60$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.6	86	50%43 W · 43 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked No	61c	60$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.6	197	51.8%102 W · 95 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No	61c	60$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.6	103	51.5%53 W · 50 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No	61c	60$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.6	96	49%47 W · 49 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed No	61c	60$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.6	121	47.9%58 W · 63 L	-8.1wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked No	61c	60$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.6	190	53.7%102 W · 88 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed No	61c	60$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.6	100	45%45 W · 55 L	-9.9wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed No	61c	60$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.6	95	51.6%49 W · 46 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed No	61c	60$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.6	157	47.1%74 W · 83 L	-9.2wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed No	61c	60$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.6	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	-5.0wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1170…8398backed Yes	39c	58.97$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.97	78	43.6%34 W · 44 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90eb…68dfbacked Yes	35c	57.4$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.4	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes	38c	52.63$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.63	142	33.8%48 W · 94 L	-9.7wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes	39c	51.28$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.27	283	42.8%121 W · 162 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed No	59c	49.99$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.49	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes	38c	39.47$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.47	54	53.7%29 W · 25 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Yes	41c	30$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.7	112	49.1%55 W · 57 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed No	69c	28.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-4.3wins	-0.21per pick	49cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe7f4…6eadbacked Yes	38c	27.69$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.24	89	32.6%29 W · 60 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Yes	40c	25$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	80	40%32 W · 48 L	-6.3wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x342e…8f17backed Yes	40c	25$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+2.2wins	+0.31per pick	40cpaid	+96.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x49d7…1635backed No	62c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-23%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No	64c	18.09$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.58	95	54.7%52 W · 43 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2025-12-16?this page
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?No won
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2025-12-16?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2025-12-16?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event