Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Belmont Bruins vs. Evansville Aces
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff8818c8a41aaa73f9aadf36913557c1112b6283acc87a14db7e182e091e1c1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Belmont Bruinsof Belmont Bruins, Evansville Aces
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Belmont Bruins | 79c | 3,465$2,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.63 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Evansville Aces | 11c | 3,383$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.29 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Evansville Aces | 2c | 2,620$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.55 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Evansville Aces | 21c | 1,840$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.4 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Evansville Aces | 5c | 1,500$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Evansville Aces | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Evansville Aces | 21c | 920$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Evansville Aces | 4c | 839.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Evansville Aces | 7c | 722.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Evansville Aces | 11c | 686.9$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.79 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Evansville Aces | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Evansville Aces | 20c | 291.41$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Evansville Aces | 20c | 276$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.74 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd45b…58f5backed Belmont Bruins | 80c | 184.88$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Evansville Aces | 18c | 169$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Evansville Aces | 18c | 149$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Evansville Aces | 18c | 141$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Evansville Aces | 18c | 126$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Belmont Bruins | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Evansville Aces | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…92ecbacked Evansville Aces | 21c | 88.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Evansville Aces | 19c | 87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Evansville Aces | 18c | 84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Evansville Aces | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Belmont Bruins | 79c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Belmont Bruins | 79c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Belmont Bruins | 80c | 33.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Belmont Bruins | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked Belmont Bruins | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…8de9backed Belmont Bruins | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb36b…7804backed Belmont Bruins | 80c | 14.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Belmont Bruins | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Belmont Bruins | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…e30ebacked Belmont Bruins | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 79cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.