F1 · resolved market
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb563ce0ebd9109ed58b6735afa0e7585231ca05841230f08f050cb8d7ff8a019
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 7,037$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 15c | 5,100$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.5 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0c…3bf9backed Yes | 35c | 2,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,522$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.88 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 15c | 1,314$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.24 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 69c | 783.66$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.73 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 10c | 750$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 64 | 10.9%7 W · 57 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9470…8a30backed Yes | 10c | 520$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Yes | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 27c | 499.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.42 | 125 | 23.2%29 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 64c | 464.21$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.69 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf270…7a37backed No | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24a…10acbacked Yes | 15c | 331.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27a7…36dcbacked Yes | 13c | 322.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Yes | 13c | 307.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8409…a952backed Yes | 38c | 293.21$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -66%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 67c | 288.17$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.95 | 91 | 65.9%60 W · 31 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 72c | 275.49$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.28 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 71c | 265.93$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes | 20c | 232.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed65…b1b2backed Yes | 12c | 224.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…f0b8backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 69c | 178.28$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.51 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 70c | 173.81$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.67 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +8.3wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…5a9abacked No | 72c | 142.07$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa16a…57d5backed Yes | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b64…aa5cbacked Yes | 16c | 118.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x467d…cc17backed No | 77c | 114.78$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 72c | 106.57$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked No | 77c | 105$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cb…3f69backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a74…9043backed Yes | 16c | 99.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d84…f2a8backed Yes | 17c | 87.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce4…fbd1backed Yes | 27c | 65.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x902e…b45dbacked Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 72c | 33.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 73c | 27.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885c…1f34backed Yes | 40c | 25.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea0…318fbacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…3288backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.