F1 · resolved market
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a6983958fd026db33769494b0657bf23d778e79b0876f495623c4c49a4724b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Yes | 33c | 37,459$12,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,993.19 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…0215backed No | 67c | 8,208$5,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,493.73 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked No | 66c | 4,869$3,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,217.84 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked No | 67c | 4,775$3,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,182.2 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +8.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…cc46backed Yes | 36c | 3,848$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 65c | 3,742$2,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,441.69 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 34c | 3,100$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fe…e23dbacked No | 66c | 2,902$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f07…f1bcbacked No | 66c | 2,414$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 66c | 2,387$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.42 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 67c | 2,034$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.96 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 66c | 2,008$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 63c | 1,981$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.16 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ec…7f1cbacked Yes | 36c | 1,710$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.9 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b64…aa5cbacked Yes | 32c | 1,275$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.54 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…392cbacked Yes | 32c | 1,005$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec4…d553backed Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…ad0fbacked No | 66c | 909.09$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 67c | 700$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1a…f04fbacked No | 67c | 671.64$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 61c | 659.3$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.42 | 113 | 66.4%75 W · 38 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 64c | 554.99$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.2 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Yes | 42c | 527.93$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0c…3bf9backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.38 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…a9dabacked No | 67c | 416.28$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3844…7285backed Yes | 35c | 414.77$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.66 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Yes | 59c | 203.43$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.52 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 61c | 177.81$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.6 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf926…06eebacked No | 67c | 143.28$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfac5…9782backed No | 65c | 139.66$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d4…84a1backed Yes | 70c | 137.12$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3309…be44backed Yes | 24c | 129.83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.08 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce4…fbd1backed Yes | 34c | 119.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 62c | 119.29$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.45 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 64c | 118.72$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked No | 65c | 113.03$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf3…eac3backed Yes | 37c | 105$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…c07cbacked No | 27c | 102.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Yes | 36c | 101.48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.94 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5427…bb86backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +66%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 66c | 99.59$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.73 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +8.3wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc0…47e5backed Yes | 36c | 98.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.08 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x678b…beafbacked Yes | 40c | 96.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cb…3f69backed No | 66c | 90$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 65c | 85.36$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.81 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked No | 25c | 81.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 34c | 79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 63c | 74.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfac…490fbacked No | 67c | 74.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6470…aac7backed Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked No | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a74…9043backed Yes | 35c | 59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 69c | 55.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…7820backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de5…2cc2backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa5…c8a1backed Yes | 38c | 52.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…a74fbacked Yes | 41c | 48.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 63c | 44.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fff…9d61backed Yes | 41c | 43.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 64c | 41.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e3…b1debacked Yes | 65c | 35.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…0495backed No | 67c | 31.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 67c | 30.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9470…8a30backed No | 63c | 29.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5b…f8cabacked Yes | 40c | 27.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x078b…35c8backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c3…2da0backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…b953backed Yes | 80c | 17.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 80c | 12.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.